Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/3 Game 1
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+59.7pt). The game was decided in East 2: Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +39.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shota Akutsu tsumo 1,100 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -2.0 | +2.7 | -1.8 | +1.2 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 27% | 25% | 26% | -10.3 | -19.2 | +39.0 | -9.5 |
| East 3 | Kei Nakabayashi ron 8,000 from Shota Akutsu | 13% | 12% | 57% | 18% | +23.3 | -20.4 | -0.8 | -2.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 5% | 55% | 14% | -0.6 | +0.4 | +3.8 | -3.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 12,000 from Shota Akutsu | 25% | 5% | 61% | 10% | +33.8 | -21.0 | -13.2 | +0.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 58% | 1% | 34% | 7% | -12.0 | -1.8 | +17.0 | -3.2 |
| South 2 | Arisa Date ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki | 38% | 1% | 56% | 5% | +3.8 | -3.0 | -4.3 | +3.4 |
| South 3 | Arisa Date ron 5,200 from Shota Akutsu | 46% | 0% | 49% | 5% | -3.5 | -5.1 | +1.5 | +7.1 |
| South 4 | Arisa Date tsumo 1,500 | 37% | 0% | 56% | 8% | -0.8 | -0.9 | -2.5 | +4.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 37% | 0% | 52% | 12% | -6.2 | -0.9 | +8.3 | -1.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 0% | 66% | 9% | -1.7 | +0.7 | -3.9 | +4.9 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Shota Akutsu tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 0% | 59% | 15% | -10.1 | +8.8 | +15.9 | -14.7 |