Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/3 Game 1
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+59.7pt). The game was decided in East 2: Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +37.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Akutsu Shota 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Akutsu Shota Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akutsu Shota tsumo 1,100 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -2.9 | +1.5 | +0.2 | +1.2 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 25% | 27% | 26% | -9.8 | -16.2 | +37.6 | -11.7 |
| East 3 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 8,000 from Akutsu Shota | 14% | 13% | 57% | 15% | +24.9 | -21.8 | -2.8 | -0.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 27% | 5% | 53% | 14% | -1.6 | -0.4 | +3.4 | -1.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 12,000 from Akutsu Shota | 26% | 4% | 59% | 11% | +32.9 | -20.9 | -11.5 | -0.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 5,200 | 57% | 1% | 35% | 8% | -12.4 | -2.3 | +18.8 | -4.1 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa ron 1,000 from Suzuki Taro | 36% | 1% | 58% | 5% | +4.3 | -2.6 | -5.2 | +3.5 |
| South 3 | Date Arisa ron 5,200 from Akutsu Shota | 44% | 0% | 50% | 5% | -3.4 | -5.3 | +0.7 | +7.9 |
| South 4 | Date Arisa tsumo 1,500 | 36% | 0% | 55% | 8% | -0.4 | -0.4 | 0.0 | +0.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 36% | 0% | 56% | 8% | -6.9 | -1.1 | +5.2 | +2.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 25% | 0% | 65% | 11% | +0.8 | +0.4 | -3.8 | +2.6 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Akutsu Shota tsumo 4,000 | 29% | 0% | 58% | 12% | -12.0 | +8.9 | +16.3 | -13.2 |