Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/3 Game 2
Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+56.7pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +57.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 1,100 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -5.0 | +8.1 | -4.9 | +1.8 |
| East 2 | Shibukawa Namba ron 6,400 from Takamiya Mari | 21% | 30% | 22% | 26% | -15.9 | -1.1 | +17.8 | -0.8 |
| East 3 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 14% | 27% | 34% | 25% | -9.0 | +8.1 | -1.2 | +2.0 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 33% | 32% | 27% | +35.4 | -7.9 | -5.2 | -22.3 |
| South 1 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 27% | 29% | 30% | 14% | -0.1 | +7.9 | -9.0 | +1.2 |
| South 2 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 35% | 23% | 15% | -7.1 | -16.5 | +34.6 | -11.0 |
| South 3 | Draw | 19% | 16% | 57% | 9% | +1.2 | +6.0 | -2.0 | -5.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 17% | 55% | 8% | +6.1 | -3.8 | -8.5 | +6.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 22% | 38% | 13% | -23.2 | +57.7 | -14.3 | -20.2 |