Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/3 Game 2
Futoshi Watanabe finished 1st (+56.7pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 8,000, which moved Futoshi Watanabe's expected points by +57.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 1,100 | 26% | 25% | 23% | 27% | -2.4 | +4.6 | -2.0 | -0.2 |
| East 2 | Namba Shibukawa ron 6,400 from Mari Takamiya | 23% | 28% | 23% | 27% | -17.7 | -0.9 | +17.8 | +0.8 |
| East 3 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Mari Takamiya | 13% | 26% | 35% | 27% | -7.4 | +11.4 | -1.3 | -2.8 |
| East 4 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 35% | 33% | 23% | +35.0 | -7.6 | -7.9 | -19.5 |
| South 1 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 30% | 29% | 28% | 13% | -0.2 | +7.5 | -6.2 | -1.1 |
| South 2 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 35% | 23% | 13% | -6.2 | -18.2 | +33.0 | -8.6 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 16% | 54% | 9% | -1.9 | +6.5 | +0.1 | -4.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 18% | 56% | 7% | +9.3 | -3.5 | -8.8 | +2.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 22% | 40% | 10% | -25.1 | +57.3 | -15.3 | -17.0 |