Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

2/5 Game 1

Genta Takeuchi finished 1st (+56.9pt). The game was decided in South 3, 3 honba: Genta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki, which moved Genta Takeuchi's expected points by +39.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Genta Takeuchi● Maki Asami● Kosuke Nagai● Yu Suzuki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Genta● Maki● Kosuke● Yu
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultGenta Takeuchi
1st-place chance
Maki Asami
1st-place chance
Kosuke Nagai
1st-place chance
Yu Suzuki
1st-place chance
Genta Takeuchi
Expected pt change
Maki Asami
Expected pt change
Kosuke Nagai
Expected pt change
Yu Suzuki
Expected pt change
East 1Genta Takeuchi tsumo 7,80026%24%23%27%+19.1-5.7-3.1-10.3
East 1, 1 honbaGenta Takeuchi tsumo 7,80039%21%21%20%+26.1-6.1-9.7-10.3
East 1, 2 honbaYu Suzuki tsumo 2,70062%14%13%11%-4.1-3.9-2.6+10.6
East 2Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,00058%13%12%16%-4.8-11.7-5.6+22.0
East 3Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Kosuke Nagai52%7%10%31%-1.30.0-15.3+16.6
East 4Kosuke Nagai tsumo 8,00048%6%3%43%-2.8-6.0+17.9-9.1
South 1Kosuke Nagai tsumo 8,00049%6%8%37%-9.2-7.1+20.6-4.3
South 2Maki Asami tsumo 18,00042%5%18%35%-19.7+53.2-17.8-15.8
South 2, 1 honbaMaki Asami tsumo 3,90025%34%14%27%-4.4+15.1-3.2-7.5
South 2, 2 honbaExhaustive draw20%50%12%19%+9.5-2.2-4.7-2.6
South 3, 3 honbaGenta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki27%47%10%17%+39.1-8.1-0.7-30.4
South 4Kosuke Nagai ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki77%20%0%3%+9.4-5.6+12.7-16.5

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)