Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/5 Game 1
Takeuchi Genta finished 1st (+56.9pt). The game was decided in South 3, 3 honba: Takeuchi Genta ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu, which moved Takeuchi Genta's expected points by +39.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 7,800 | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +21.0 | -5.6 | -7.4 | -8.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 7,800 | 39% | 22% | 20% | 19% | +23.9 | -7.7 | -10.0 | -6.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 2,700 | 62% | 14% | 12% | 12% | -3.9 | -0.7 | -3.9 | +8.5 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 59% | 14% | 11% | 16% | -5.2 | -13.4 | -4.5 | +23.1 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Nagai Kosuke | 53% | 7% | 9% | 31% | -0.9 | -0.3 | -14.8 | +16.0 |
| East 4 | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 8,000 | 48% | 5% | 4% | 44% | -1.7 | -7.5 | +18.6 | -9.5 |
| South 1 | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 8,000 | 50% | 5% | 9% | 36% | -10.8 | -5.5 | +20.6 | -4.3 |
| South 2 | Asami Maki tsumo 18,000 | 40% | 5% | 20% | 35% | -19.0 | +53.2 | -18.2 | -16.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Asami Maki tsumo 3,900 | 25% | 34% | 14% | 27% | -6.7 | +15.5 | -2.4 | -6.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 17% | 50% | 12% | 21% | +10.4 | -1.3 | -5.5 | -3.5 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Takeuchi Genta ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 24% | 48% | 10% | 18% | +39.7 | -9.7 | -0.4 | -29.6 |
| South 4 | Nagai Kosuke ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 76% | 19% | 1% | 4% | +10.3 | -5.1 | +12.3 | -17.5 |