Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/5 Game 1
Genta Takeuchi finished 1st (+56.9pt). The game was decided in South 3, 3 honba: Genta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki, which moved Genta Takeuchi's expected points by +39.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 7,800 | 26% | 24% | 23% | 27% | +19.1 | -5.7 | -3.1 | -10.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 7,800 | 39% | 21% | 21% | 20% | +26.1 | -6.1 | -9.7 | -10.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 2,700 | 62% | 14% | 13% | 11% | -4.1 | -3.9 | -2.6 | +10.6 |
| East 2 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 58% | 13% | 12% | 16% | -4.8 | -11.7 | -5.6 | +22.0 |
| East 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Kosuke Nagai | 52% | 7% | 10% | 31% | -1.3 | 0.0 | -15.3 | +16.6 |
| East 4 | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 8,000 | 48% | 6% | 3% | 43% | -2.8 | -6.0 | +17.9 | -9.1 |
| South 1 | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 8,000 | 49% | 6% | 8% | 37% | -9.2 | -7.1 | +20.6 | -4.3 |
| South 2 | Maki Asami tsumo 18,000 | 42% | 5% | 18% | 35% | -19.7 | +53.2 | -17.8 | -15.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Maki Asami tsumo 3,900 | 25% | 34% | 14% | 27% | -4.4 | +15.1 | -3.2 | -7.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 50% | 12% | 19% | +9.5 | -2.2 | -4.7 | -2.6 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 27% | 47% | 10% | 17% | +39.1 | -8.1 | -0.7 | -30.4 |
| South 4 | Kosuke Nagai ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 77% | 20% | 0% | 3% | +9.4 | -5.6 | +12.7 | -16.5 |