Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/5 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+60.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +31.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +31.4 | -10.8 | -11.3 | -9.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 4,000 | 48% | 17% | 17% | 18% | -5.4 | -3.2 | -1.7 | +10.4 |
| East 2 | Asai Takaki ron 3,200 from Nakabayashi Kei | 43% | 14% | 17% | 25% | +1.0 | -10.6 | +7.7 | +1.9 |
| East 3 | Asai Takaki tsumo 3,000 | 45% | 10% | 20% | 25% | -4.0 | -2.3 | +10.0 | -3.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 2,700 | 41% | 10% | 26% | 23% | -1.1 | +7.2 | -3.0 | -3.1 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 41% | 13% | 24% | 22% | +26.8 | -21.4 | -1.5 | -3.9 |
| South 1 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 3,900 from Asai Takaki | 69% | 3% | 16% | 12% | +0.8 | +10.5 | -14.1 | +2.8 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Asai Takaki | 74% | 5% | 8% | 12% | +10.0 | -3.9 | -8.7 | +2.6 |
| South 3 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 87% | 0% | 4% | 8% | +0.7 | +29.5 | -20.5 | -9.7 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,800 from Asai Takaki | 93% | 1% | 0% | 6% | -1.7 | -9.9 | -10.1 | +21.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 89% | 0% | 0% | 11% | +2.5 | +26.2 | -2.2 | -26.5 |