Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

2/5 Table B Game 2

Shimoishi Geki finished 1st (+78.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Shimoishi Geki ron 18,000 from Honda Tomohiro, which moved Shimoishi Geki's expected points by +44.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Shimoishi Geki● HIRO Shibata● Ooi Takaharu● Honda Tomohiro0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Shimoishi● HIRO● Ooi● Honda
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHIRO Shibata
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Shimoishi Geki
1st-place chance
Honda Tomohiro
1st-place chance
HIRO Shibata
Expected pt change
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
Shimoishi Geki
Expected pt change
Honda Tomohiro
Expected pt change
East 1Shimoishi Geki tsumo 2,00026%24%26%25%-5.0-0.8+4.4+1.4
East 2Shimoishi Geki tsumo 5,20023%24%29%24%-1.8-9.1+16.5-5.5
East 3Draw21%17%41%21%-3.2+8.0-1.9-2.9
East 4, 1 honbaHonda Tomohiro ron 1,500 from Ooi Takaharu19%22%40%19%-0.9-3.2-0.4+4.5
East 4, 2 honbaHonda Tomohiro ron 1,500 from Shimoishi Geki18%19%40%22%-0.8-0.5-4.0+5.3
East 4, 3 honbaHIRO Shibata tsumo 12,00018%19%37%26%+41.8-10.7-11.2-19.9
South 1Draw52%12%24%12%+5.6-0.8-1.4-3.3
South 1, 1 honbaShimoishi Geki ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro59%10%21%10%-6.1+0.2+24.8-18.9
South 2HIRO Shibata ron 2,000 from Shimoishi Geki47%10%40%3%+13.5-5.3-6.4-1.8
South 3Shimoishi Geki ron 18,000 from Honda Tomohiro68%3%27%2%-22.2+1.6+44.8-24.2
South 3, 1 honbaShimoishi Geki tsumo 12,00014%0%86%0%-9.3-4.6+17.7-3.8
South 3, 2 honbaDraw1%0%99%0%+1.3-3.4+1.5+0.6
South 3, 3 honbaHonda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata1%0%99%0%-11.6-0.1-1.2+12.9
South 4Honda Tomohiro ron 5,800 from Shimoishi Geki0%0%100%0%-0.5-2.1-6.1+8.7
South 4, 1 honbaOoi Takaharu tsumo 2,0000%0%100%0%+1.5+6.0+0.1-7.6

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)