Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

2/5 Table B Game 2

Geki Shimoishi finished 1st (+78.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Geki Shimoishi ron 18,000 from Tomohiro Honda, which moved Geki Shimoishi's expected points by +44.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Geki Shimoishi● HIRO Shibata● Takaharu Ooi● Tomohiro Honda0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Geki● HIRO● Takaharu● Tomohiro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHIRO Shibata
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Geki Shimoishi
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Honda
1st-place chance
HIRO Shibata
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Geki Shimoishi
Expected pt change
Tomohiro Honda
Expected pt change
East 1Geki Shimoishi tsumo 2,00025%25%25%25%-2.7-1.1+5.9-2.1
East 2Geki Shimoishi tsumo 5,20023%26%27%24%-4.2-10.1+17.9-3.6
East 3Exhaustive draw18%18%43%21%-3.3+8.7-2.2-3.2
East 4, 1 honbaTomohiro Honda ron 1,500 from Takaharu Ooi18%22%41%20%-1.5-4.0-0.1+5.7
East 4, 2 honbaTomohiro Honda ron 1,500 from Geki Shimoishi16%20%41%23%+1.7-1.2-6.3+5.8
East 4, 3 honbaHIRO Shibata tsumo 12,00019%20%35%26%+41.5-9.8-10.1-21.6
South 1Exhaustive draw53%12%24%11%+5.9-3.1-0.9-1.9
South 1, 1 honbaGeki Shimoishi ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda59%10%22%9%-5.4-0.6+25.6-19.5
South 2HIRO Shibata ron 2,000 from Geki Shimoishi48%7%42%3%+12.0-3.2-7.0-1.8
South 3Geki Shimoishi ron 18,000 from Tomohiro Honda68%2%28%3%-21.1+1.6+44.0-24.5
South 3, 1 honbaGeki Shimoishi tsumo 12,00014%0%85%0%-9.8-4.5+17.8-3.5
South 3, 2 honbaExhaustive draw1%0%99%0%+0.6-3.0+1.5+0.9
South 3, 3 honbaTomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata1%0%99%0%-11.1-0.3-1.0+12.4
South 4Tomohiro Honda ron 5,800 from Geki Shimoishi0%0%100%0%-0.6-1.9-6.3+8.8
South 4, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi tsumo 2,0000%0%99%1%+1.9+5.8+0.3-8.0

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)