Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/6 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+70.1pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +45.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 25% | 24% | 27% | -10.6 | -9.5 | -3.8 | +23.9 |
| East 2 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 5,200 from Kurosawa Saki | 16% | 18% | 21% | 45% | +0.4 | -3.7 | +16.4 | -13.1 |
| East 3 | HIRO Shibata ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 17% | 16% | 33% | 34% | +0.2 | +22.6 | +0.5 | -23.2 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 7,800 | 17% | 31% | 34% | 19% | -8.1 | -7.7 | -8.5 | +24.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000 | 14% | 24% | 26% | 36% | -13.1 | -15.7 | -17.1 | +45.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 5,200 from Kurosawa Saki | 4% | 7% | 8% | 81% | +13.1 | -0.2 | -1.2 | -11.8 |
| South 1 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 3,900 | 9% | 10% | 10% | 71% | +9.8 | -4.2 | -2.7 | -2.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | HIRO Shibata tsumo 1,100 | 13% | 10% | 10% | 67% | -3.9 | +3.1 | -2.6 | +3.4 |
| South 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from HIRO Shibata | 7% | 10% | 9% | 75% | +5.0 | -31.5 | +4.0 | +22.6 |
| South 3 | HIRO Shibata ron 8,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 1% | 0% | 3% | 97% | +4.4 | +23.7 | -29.6 | +1.5 |
| South 4 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 1,300 from Kurosawa Saki | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +5.2 | -1.5 | -1.3 | -2.4 |