Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/6 Game 1
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+70.1pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Saki Kurosawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +46.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 27% | 23% | 23% | -12.1 | -12.1 | -2.9 | +27.1 |
| East 2 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 5,200 from Saki Kurosawa | 16% | 18% | 20% | 46% | 0.0 | -4.2 | +17.2 | -13.0 |
| East 3 | HIRO Shibata ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 17% | 16% | 33% | 34% | -0.1 | +24.3 | -3.1 | -21.2 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 7,800 | 17% | 32% | 30% | 21% | -8.2 | -6.4 | -6.2 | +20.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 18,000 | 14% | 27% | 26% | 34% | -13.8 | -16.7 | -15.8 | +46.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 5,200 from Saki Kurosawa | 4% | 9% | 8% | 80% | +13.8 | -2.0 | -1.9 | -9.8 |
| South 1 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 3,900 | 8% | 10% | 9% | 73% | +10.4 | -2.4 | -3.4 | -4.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | HIRO Shibata tsumo 1,100 | 14% | 10% | 9% | 67% | -6.4 | +1.3 | +0.2 | +4.9 |
| South 2 | Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from HIRO Shibata | 5% | 9% | 10% | 76% | +6.4 | -30.4 | +1.8 | +22.2 |
| South 3 | HIRO Shibata ron 8,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 0% | 0% | 2% | 97% | +5.1 | +22.8 | -28.6 | +0.8 |
| South 4 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 1,300 from Saki Kurosawa | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +4.9 | -1.0 | -1.7 | -2.3 |