Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/6 Table B Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+53.9pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +33.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 7,800 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +19.9 | -6.6 | -6.8 | -6.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 8,000 | 39% | 20% | 19% | 22% | -15.1 | +26.2 | -3.3 | -7.8 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Namba Shibukawa | 27% | 40% | 18% | 15% | +3.5 | -17.5 | +11.8 | +2.2 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 25% | 26% | 18% | -2.6 | +3.5 | +2.4 | -3.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Namba Shibukawa ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 29% | 28% | 26% | 17% | -1.3 | +9.3 | -7.5 | -0.5 |
| East 4 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 1,100 | 26% | 37% | 21% | 17% | -1.0 | +6.0 | -0.2 | -4.8 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 26% | 42% | 20% | 13% | -4.9 | -1.4 | +27.2 | -20.9 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 37% | 41% | 5% | -3.2 | -12.4 | -1.8 | +17.3 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 27% | 41% | 13% | +3.0 | -2.2 | -0.2 | -0.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 22% | 25% | 39% | 14% | -14.9 | -0.1 | +33.6 | -18.6 |