Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/6 Table B Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+53.9pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +34.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 7,800 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +20.4 | -6.7 | -6.9 | -6.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 8,000 | 40% | 20% | 20% | 21% | -13.5 | +22.8 | -3.1 | -6.2 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Shibukawa Namba | 28% | 36% | 18% | 17% | 0.0 | -13.3 | +12.1 | +1.3 |
| East 3 | Draw | 30% | 26% | 26% | 19% | -3.1 | +3.7 | +2.6 | -3.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 26% | 29% | 28% | 18% | +1.6 | +8.4 | -7.6 | -2.5 |
| East 4 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 1,100 | 30% | 35% | 20% | 16% | -2.1 | +6.8 | -1.1 | -3.5 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 27% | 42% | 19% | 12% | -4.0 | -1.6 | +27.1 | -21.6 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 37% | 40% | 5% | -4.2 | -11.3 | -1.8 | +17.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 19% | 29% | 40% | 12% | +3.7 | -3.0 | -0.5 | -0.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 22% | 26% | 38% | 14% | -15.0 | -0.6 | +34.1 | -18.5 |