Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/9 Game 2
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+68.5pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +28.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 6,000 | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | +17.4 | -5.4 | -4.9 | -7.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go | 38% | 21% | 23% | 19% | +28.2 | +2.0 | -29.4 | -0.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Draw | 62% | 17% | 7% | 14% | -2.7 | +2.3 | -2.2 | +2.6 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 60% | 18% | 7% | 16% | -4.7 | -16.7 | -5.2 | +26.6 |
| East 3 | Draw | 53% | 9% | 5% | 33% | -1.9 | +0.2 | +4.1 | -2.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Kobayashi Go | 53% | 9% | 6% | 32% | +1.1 | -0.6 | -4.6 | +4.1 |
| East 4 | Draw | 54% | 9% | 3% | 35% | +0.2 | +4.3 | -0.1 | -4.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 2,900 from Kobayashi Go | 56% | 10% | 3% | 31% | +10.3 | -1.8 | -4.4 | -4.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 5,800 from Kobayashi Go | 68% | 7% | 3% | 23% | +14.6 | +1.2 | -12.8 | -3.0 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 82% | 4% | 1% | 13% | -0.3 | -4.4 | +3.5 | +1.1 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Draw | 80% | 4% | 1% | 15% | -3.0 | -2.4 | +1.2 | +4.2 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 1,000 from Kobayashi Go | 78% | 4% | 1% | 18% | +12.6 | -3.6 | -6.0 | -3.1 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 16,000 | 93% | 0% | 1% | 7% | -10.2 | -3.2 | -11.3 | +24.8 |
| South 4 | Draw | 76% | 0% | 0% | 24% | -3.7 | -0.6 | -0.7 | +5.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 68% | 0% | 0% | 32% | +10.0 | -1.7 | +9.4 | -17.8 |