Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/10 Game 1
Geki Shimoishi finished 1st (+61.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kazuma Ishii ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda, which moved Geki Shimoishi's expected points by +37.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Geki Shimoishi | 26% | 25% | 27% | 23% | -2.9 | +10.4 | -11.7 | +4.2 |
| East 2 | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 33% | 18% | 27% | -5.3 | -22.9 | +36.8 | -8.6 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 15% | 45% | 21% | -10.4 | -5.7 | -17.1 | +33.3 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 6,000 | 12% | 13% | 28% | 46% | -3.8 | -5.6 | -8.2 | +17.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 9% | 18% | 64% | -8.2 | -7.9 | -7.8 | +23.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kazuma Ishii ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 2% | 3% | 7% | 88% | +13.7 | -12.1 | -1.1 | -0.5 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Geki Shimoishi | 4% | 2% | 5% | 89% | -1.4 | +10.9 | -11.7 | +2.2 |
| South 2 | Kazuma Ishii ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | +19.3 | -20.9 | +0.2 | +1.4 |
| South 3 | Geki Shimoishi ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 1% | 0% | 2% | 96% | -6.5 | -15.0 | +23.4 | -1.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 0% | 7% | 92% | -13.8 | -3.9 | +28.5 | -10.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 3,200 from Sho Shiratori | 0% | 0% | 25% | 74% | -0.1 | -3.4 | -8.3 | +11.8 |
| South 4 | Kazuma Ishii ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 0% | 6% | 94% | +12.7 | +0.4 | +37.7 | -50.7 |