Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/10 Game 1
Shimoishi Geki finished 1st (+61.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Ishii Kazuma ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Shimoishi Geki's expected points by +36.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Shimoishi Geki | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -3.6 | +8.0 | -7.3 | +2.9 |
| East 2 | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 30% | 18% | 28% | -4.4 | -18.9 | +31.9 | -8.6 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 17% | 43% | 21% | -10.0 | -9.2 | -15.3 | +34.4 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 6,000 | 13% | 11% | 27% | 48% | -5.9 | -3.0 | -7.1 | +15.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 8% | 19% | 65% | -7.6 | -6.6 | -10.0 | +24.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Ishii Kazuma ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho | 3% | 3% | 6% | 88% | +13.3 | -13.3 | +1.2 | -1.2 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Shimoishi Geki | 4% | 1% | 6% | 89% | -0.1 | +10.1 | -12.7 | +2.8 |
| South 2 | Ishii Kazuma ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 1% | 2% | 2% | 94% | +18.9 | -21.3 | +0.7 | +1.8 |
| South 3 | Shimoishi Geki ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 2% | 0% | 3% | 96% | -6.1 | -14.2 | +22.1 | -1.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 0% | 6% | 93% | -13.8 | -4.5 | +31.0 | -12.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 3,200 from Shiratori Sho | 1% | 0% | 27% | 72% | -0.8 | -2.9 | -8.9 | +12.6 |
| South 4 | Ishii Kazuma ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 0% | 7% | 93% | +12.9 | +0.3 | +36.9 | -50.1 |