Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/10 Game 2
Rio Tojyo finished 1st (+62.0pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Rio Tojyo ron 7,700 from Tomohiro Miura, which moved Rio Tojyo's expected points by +21.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Miura 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Tomohiro Miura Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 26% | 24% | 27% | -3.8 | -3.8 | +10.2 | -2.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 7,700 from Tomohiro Miura | 22% | 23% | 32% | 24% | +0.3 | +21.8 | -21.9 | -0.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 7,700 from Tomohiro Miura | 21% | 37% | 18% | 24% | +0.4 | +21.0 | -19.0 | -2.4 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 2,900 from Futoshi Watanabe | 16% | 57% | 8% | 18% | -11.6 | +12.0 | -0.4 | 0.0 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 67% | 7% | 16% | +0.5 | -1.7 | +0.6 | +0.5 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Tomohiro Miura tsumo 6,000 | 9% | 68% | 6% | 16% | -6.3 | -7.4 | +18.6 | -4.8 |
| East 3, 6 honba | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 60% | 14% | 16% | -2.5 | -3.2 | +7.3 | -1.6 |
| East 3, 7 honba | Tomohiro Miura tsumo 7,800 | 9% | 58% | 18% | 15% | -7.7 | -10.1 | +26.8 | -9.0 |
| East 3, 8 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 1,000 from Tomohiro Miura | 7% | 44% | 37% | 12% | +0.3 | +11.7 | -10.3 | -1.8 |
| East 4 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 2,700 | 6% | 59% | 25% | 10% | -3.7 | +10.2 | -2.6 | -3.8 |
| South 1 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,900 from Tomohiro Miura | 3% | 72% | 18% | 7% | +7.2 | +0.7 | -6.7 | -1.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Tomohiro Miura ron 8,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 5% | 74% | 15% | 6% | -20.6 | -1.2 | +20.5 | +1.2 |
| South 2 | Tomohiro Miura ron 8,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 1% | 69% | 26% | 4% | -12.2 | -7.2 | +17.1 | +2.3 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 54% | 43% | 3% | -2.8 | +4.4 | -8.6 | +7.0 |
| South 4 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 66% | 30% | 4% | +1.4 | +14.3 | -10.5 | -5.2 |