Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/12 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+87.8pt). The game was decided in East 2: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +33.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Akutsu Shota 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change | Akutsu Shota Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Akutsu Shota | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +32.1 | -1.0 | -30.9 | -0.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nagai Kosuke ron 5,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 50% | 20% | 8% | 22% | -16.5 | +17.8 | +0.1 | -1.4 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 35% | 34% | 9% | 22% | -6.8 | -20.1 | -6.5 | +33.4 |
| East 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Akutsu Shota | 26% | 17% | 6% | 50% | -1.0 | -0.8 | -16.3 | +18.1 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 20% | 12% | 1% | 67% | -26.2 | +0.8 | +2.5 | +22.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Akutsu Shota ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 3% | 6% | 1% | 90% | -20.3 | +2.1 | +17.6 | +0.6 |
| South 1 | Draw | 1% | 4% | 1% | 93% | +2.3 | -2.2 | +1.8 | -2.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Akutsu Shota | 2% | 5% | 1% | 92% | -2.9 | +3.8 | -15.2 | +14.2 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Nagai Kosuke | 0% | 2% | 0% | 98% | +1.7 | -3.4 | -1.3 | +3.0 |
| South 3 | Akutsu Shota ron 5,800 from Nagai Kosuke | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.6 | -12.1 | +12.6 | +0.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nagai Kosuke ron 1,000 from Akutsu Shota | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +0.4 | +9.8 | -10.5 | +0.3 |
| South 4 | Akutsu Shota tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -16.4 | +3.4 | +15.2 | -2.2 |