Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

2/12 Table B Game 1

Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+94.4pt). The game was decided in East 2: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +29.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Sasaki Hisato● Setokuma Naoki● Shimoishi Geki● Asai Takaki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Sasaki● Setokuma● Shimoishi● Asai
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSetokuma Naoki
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Shimoishi Geki
1st-place chance
Asai Takaki
1st-place chance
Setokuma Naoki
Expected pt change
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
Shimoishi Geki
Expected pt change
Asai Takaki
Expected pt change
East 1Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,00024%27%24%25%-12.7+20.4-3.3-4.4
East 2Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,00016%42%21%21%-11.2+29.7-10.2-8.2
East 2, 1 honbaDraw7%68%12%13%-2.6+1.2-2.0+3.4
East 2, 2 honbaAsai Takaki ron 1,000 from Shimoishi Geki6%70%11%13%+1.7+0.3-6.3+4.3
East 3Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki6%72%7%14%-24.6+22.4+0.6+1.7
East 4Draw0%91%2%7%+2.5+0.5-0.8-2.2
South 1, 1 honbaShimoishi Geki ron 6,400 from Setokuma Naoki1%94%2%4%-14.7+0.3+15.8-1.4
South 2Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,0000%94%3%3%-4.2+13.6-4.8-4.6
South 2, 1 honbaShimoishi Geki tsumo 2,0000%98%1%1%-0.8-2.2+5.9-3.0
South 3Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,0000%98%1%1%-1.5+6.0-2.8-1.7
South 4Shimoishi Geki ron 3,900 from Asai Takaki0%100%0%0%-0.2+0.8+10.7-11.4

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)