Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/12 Table B Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+94.4pt). The game was decided in East 2: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +29.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 27% | 24% | 23% | -13.9 | +18.3 | -2.7 | -1.6 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 41% | 20% | 24% | -10.2 | +29.6 | -9.7 | -9.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 68% | 11% | 13% | -3.0 | +2.7 | -2.1 | +2.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Takaki Asai ron 1,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 6% | 71% | 11% | 12% | -0.1 | -1.2 | -6.3 | +7.6 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 6% | 71% | 8% | 15% | -22.6 | +23.4 | +0.1 | -0.8 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 92% | 2% | 6% | +2.0 | +1.1 | -0.2 | -3.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Geki Shimoishi ron 6,400 from Naoki Setokuma | 1% | 94% | 2% | 3% | -15.6 | -0.1 | +15.3 | +0.4 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 95% | 2% | 3% | -4.2 | +13.5 | -3.6 | -5.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 99% | 1% | 1% | -0.7 | -1.8 | +5.0 | -2.5 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 99% | 1% | 1% | -1.0 | +6.0 | -3.5 | -1.4 |
| South 4 | Geki Shimoishi ron 3,900 from Takaki Asai | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -0.1 | +0.4 | +11.3 | -11.6 |