Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/12 Table B Game 2
Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+80.5pt). The game was decided in South 2: Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 18,000, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +39.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -19.1 | +28.5 | -4.3 | -5.1 |
| East 2 | Nakada Kana tsumo 2,700 | 13% | 47% | 19% | 21% | -1.8 | -1.9 | -3.0 | +6.8 |
| East 3 | Draw | 13% | 45% | 18% | 24% | -4.0 | +11.9 | -4.9 | -3.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nakada Kana tsumo 9,600 | 8% | 58% | 14% | 20% | -8.9 | -14.2 | -9.8 | +32.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 7% | 39% | 8% | 47% | +20.7 | +1.2 | -18.9 | -3.0 |
| South 1 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 1,600 from Nakada Kana | 13% | 40% | 4% | 43% | -3.3 | +5.7 | -1.5 | -0.9 |
| South 2 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 18,000 | 8% | 47% | 3% | 42% | -11.1 | +39.8 | -7.9 | -20.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 7,700 from Nakada Kana | 0% | 91% | 1% | 7% | +4.4 | +10.0 | +1.8 | -16.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Nakada Kana ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -2.6 | -0.5 | -4.9 | +8.0 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -12.1 | -4.1 | +25.4 | -9.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nakada Kana ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | +4.0 | +0.1 | -23.2 | +19.1 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | +0.8 | +4.3 | -1.8 | -3.2 |