Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/12 Table B Game 2
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+80.5pt). The game was decided in South 2: Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 18,000, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +38.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -19.9 | +32.7 | -5.6 | -7.3 |
| East 2 | Kana Nakada tsumo 2,700 | 12% | 51% | 18% | 19% | -0.4 | -3.2 | -3.1 | +6.6 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 49% | 16% | 23% | -1.9 | +9.9 | -3.3 | -4.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kana Nakada tsumo 9,600 | 11% | 59% | 12% | 18% | -10.4 | -17.2 | -9.4 | +36.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Arisa Date ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 7% | 37% | 9% | 47% | +18.6 | +3.6 | -20.9 | -1.3 |
| South 1 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 1,600 from Kana Nakada | 12% | 39% | 3% | 47% | -2.1 | +6.7 | -0.6 | -4.0 |
| South 2 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 18,000 | 8% | 49% | 3% | 40% | -10.3 | +38.5 | -8.0 | -20.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 7,700 from Kana Nakada | 1% | 92% | 1% | 7% | +3.0 | +10.3 | +1.4 | -14.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kana Nakada ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -2.5 | -0.6 | -3.1 | +6.2 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -12.4 | -4.6 | +24.8 | -7.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kana Nakada ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 0% | 98% | 1% | 2% | +4.4 | +0.7 | -23.1 | +18.0 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | +1.3 | +3.9 | -2.4 | -2.7 |