Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

2/13 Game 1

Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+59.2pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Megumu Aikawa, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +57.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Kazunori Takizawa● Hiroshi Daigo● Megumu Aikawa● Shingo Hori0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Kazunori● Hiroshi● Megumu● Shingo
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Hiroshi Daigo
1st-place chance
Megumu Aikawa
1st-place chance
Shingo Hori
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
Hiroshi Daigo
Expected pt change
Megumu Aikawa
Expected pt change
Shingo Hori
Expected pt change
East 1Megumu Aikawa ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa26%23%26%25%-22.1+0.4+21.9-0.1
East 2Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 4,00012%24%40%24%+9.9-7.7-2.3+0.1
East 3Exhaustive draw17%19%40%25%-4.5+5.9-2.8+1.3
East 4, 1 honbaExhaustive draw15%23%37%25%-3.5-3.1-3.6+10.1
East 4, 2 honbaMegumu Aikawa tsumo 8,00013%20%34%33%-5.3-6.2+28.5-17.0
South 1Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,0008%13%64%15%+36.9-14.6-11.3-11.1
South 1, 1 honbaHiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,00031%8%49%12%-14.2+24.2-2.5-7.6
South 2Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Hiroshi Daigo20%21%49%10%+15.5-16.8+4.0-2.6
South 3Megumu Aikawa tsumo 12,00031%8%53%8%-15.8-9.3+31.1-6.0
South 3, 1 honbaExhaustive draw4%1%93%2%+3.4-1.8-1.3-0.3
South 4, 2 honbaKazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Megumu Aikawa2%0%95%3%+57.2+5.1-50.3-12.0

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)