Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

2/13 Game 1

Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+59.2pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Aikawa Megumu, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +57.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Takizawa Kazunori● Daigo Hiroshi● Aikawa Megumu● Hori Shingo0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Takizawa● Daigo● Aikawa● Hori
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakizawa Kazunori
1st-place chance
Daigo Hiroshi
1st-place chance
Aikawa Megumu
1st-place chance
Hori Shingo
1st-place chance
Takizawa Kazunori
Expected pt change
Daigo Hiroshi
Expected pt change
Aikawa Megumu
Expected pt change
Hori Shingo
Expected pt change
East 1Aikawa Megumu ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori25%25%24%26%-20.9-1.1+21.7+0.2
East 2Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 4,00012%23%40%25%+9.7-7.0-0.7-2.0
East 3Draw17%18%41%23%-3.0+5.5-4.7+2.2
East 4, 1 honbaDraw16%22%36%26%-3.6-3.4-3.2+10.2
East 4, 2 honbaAikawa Megumu tsumo 8,00014%19%34%33%-7.7-5.3+30.0-17.1
South 1Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,0008%12%65%15%+37.6-15.8-10.8-11.1
South 1, 1 honbaDaigo Hiroshi tsumo 8,00029%8%51%11%-12.6+23.1-2.4-8.1
South 2Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Daigo Hiroshi20%19%52%8%+16.3-16.3+0.2-0.2
South 3Aikawa Megumu tsumo 12,00033%7%50%10%-16.4-6.8+32.1-8.9
South 3, 1 honbaDraw5%1%92%3%+2.4-2.9-0.6+1.1
South 4, 2 honbaTakizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Aikawa Megumu2%0%95%3%+57.4+5.0-50.3-12.1

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)