Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/13 Game 2
Shibukawa Namba finished 1st (+75.3pt). The game was decided in East 4: Shibukawa Namba tsumo 16,000, which moved Shibukawa Namba's expected points by +38.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -11.6 | +22.5 | -5.4 | -5.5 |
| East 2 | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 42% | 20% | 21% | -7.9 | -20.5 | -7.1 | +35.5 |
| East 3 | Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 12% | 21% | 16% | 51% | +0.7 | +23.8 | -21.8 | -2.8 |
| East 4 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 16,000 | 10% | 42% | 5% | 43% | -8.5 | +38.6 | -6.7 | -23.3 |
| South 1 | Shibukawa Namba ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 4% | 85% | 2% | 10% | -3.0 | +4.6 | -2.3 | +0.6 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 1,300 from Shibukawa Namba | 1% | 91% | 1% | 7% | +3.5 | -2.8 | -3.1 | +2.5 |
| South 3 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,600 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 90% | 1% | 8% | +2.3 | +6.9 | -8.7 | -0.5 |
| South 4 | Shibukawa Namba ron 1,000 from Ishii Kazuma | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | -0.8 | +2.8 | -0.8 | -1.2 |