Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/13 Game 2
Namba Shibukawa finished 1st (+75.3pt). The game was decided in East 4: Namba Shibukawa tsumo 16,000, which moved Namba Shibukawa's expected points by +38.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -12.6 | +22.3 | -3.5 | -6.1 |
| East 2 | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 42% | 22% | 21% | -7.9 | -19.1 | -7.8 | +34.8 |
| East 3 | Namba Shibukawa ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 12% | 23% | 16% | 49% | +1.2 | +23.9 | -22.6 | -2.5 |
| East 4 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 16,000 | 11% | 42% | 6% | 42% | -9.9 | +38.4 | -6.1 | -22.3 |
| South 1 | Namba Shibukawa ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 2% | 85% | 2% | 11% | -0.9 | +3.5 | -2.2 | -0.5 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 1,300 from Namba Shibukawa | 1% | 92% | 1% | 7% | +2.3 | -1.9 | -2.2 | +1.7 |
| South 3 | Namba Shibukawa ron 2,600 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 92% | 1% | 7% | +2.1 | +6.2 | -9.9 | +1.6 |
| South 4 | Namba Shibukawa ron 1,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | -0.5 | +2.5 | -0.6 | -1.5 |