Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/13 Table B Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+50.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +67.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 3,900 from Nagai Kosuke | 27% | 25% | 25% | 23% | -2.2 | +10.0 | +0.3 | -8.0 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 4,000 | 24% | 33% | 24% | 20% | +11.9 | -5.7 | -3.5 | -2.6 |
| East 3 | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 12,000 | 33% | 26% | 23% | 18% | -9.4 | -8.9 | -17.8 | +36.1 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Nakabayashi Kei | 25% | 19% | 12% | 45% | +1.3 | -15.9 | +15.0 | -0.4 |
| South 1 | Draw | 25% | 12% | 18% | 45% | -4.4 | +6.5 | -1.5 | -0.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 7,800 | 22% | 16% | 19% | 44% | -11.1 | +34.8 | -14.3 | -9.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 14% | 41% | 11% | 34% | -16.2 | +1.7 | +13.5 | +1.0 |
| South 3 | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 1,100 | 6% | 44% | 16% | 33% | -5.0 | +9.6 | -7.6 | +3.0 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 61% | 7% | 30% | -11.2 | -23.4 | +67.2 | -32.7 |