Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/13 Table B Game 1
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+50.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +67.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kei Nakabayashi ron 3,900 from Kosuke Nagai | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -3.9 | +12.8 | +1.6 | -10.5 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 22% | 34% | 24% | 20% | +13.5 | -9.1 | -0.9 | -3.5 |
| East 3 | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 12,000 | 32% | 27% | 24% | 17% | -8.7 | -7.1 | -20.9 | +36.7 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,200 from Kei Nakabayashi | 24% | 20% | 11% | 45% | +1.0 | -16.2 | +17.4 | -2.2 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 12% | 20% | 43% | -3.3 | +3.7 | -2.8 | +2.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 7,800 | 20% | 15% | 18% | 47% | -10.6 | +37.1 | -15.1 | -11.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 14% | 41% | 11% | 34% | -17.2 | +2.7 | +12.8 | +1.7 |
| South 3 | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 1,100 | 7% | 45% | 16% | 33% | -5.4 | +9.2 | -6.5 | +2.7 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 62% | 7% | 29% | -10.7 | -24.2 | +67.3 | -32.4 |