Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

2/13 Table B Game 2

Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+56.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +26.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Yu Suzuki● Tomohiro Honda● Aki Nikaido● Ken Sonoda0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Yu● Tomohiro● Aki● Ken
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTomohiro Honda
1st-place chance
Aki Nikaido
1st-place chance
Yu Suzuki
1st-place chance
Ken Sonoda
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Honda
Expected pt change
Aki Nikaido
Expected pt change
Yu Suzuki
Expected pt change
Ken Sonoda
Expected pt change
East 1Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda24%25%24%26%-4.2+0.1+26.2-22.1
East 2Exhaustive draw20%24%44%13%-1.1-4.3+7.2-1.7
East 3, 1 honbaExhaustive draw18%19%52%12%+8.4-2.0-2.6-3.8
East 4, 2 honbaExhaustive draw24%17%49%10%+4.6+3.4-3.0-5.0
South 1, 3 honbaKen Sonoda tsumo 5,20027%20%45%8%-13.7-9.2+1.1+21.8
South 2Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda17%15%50%17%-26.9-7.6+2.7+31.8
South 3Exhaustive draw3%7%52%38%-0.5-1.2+6.4-4.6
South 3, 1 honbaAki Nikaido ron 5,200 from Tomohiro Honda3%6%61%30%-16.2+22.1+3.4-9.3
South 4Yu Suzuki ron 1,300 from Aki Nikaido0%11%71%18%-0.8-15.1+15.2+0.6

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)