Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

2/16 Game 1

Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+76.4pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 16,000, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +51.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Daisuke Suzuki● Sho Shiratori● HIRO Shibata● Maki Asami0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Daisuke● Sho● HIRO● Maki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSho Shiratori
1st-place chance
HIRO Shibata
1st-place chance
Maki Asami
1st-place chance
Daisuke Suzuki
1st-place chance
Sho Shiratori
Expected pt change
HIRO Shibata
Expected pt change
Maki Asami
Expected pt change
Daisuke Suzuki
Expected pt change
East 1Maki Asami ron 2,600 from HIRO Shibata25%25%26%25%+0.4-6.9+6.3+0.2
East 2Maki Asami ron 3,900 from Daisuke Suzuki25%22%29%25%+0.5-4.0+12.0-8.4
East 3Exhaustive draw23%17%39%20%+2.2-6.0+1.3+2.5
East 3, 1 honbaDaisuke Suzuki tsumo 16,00026%15%39%20%-14.7-9.2-27.3+51.2
East 4Maki Asami ron 1,000 from HIRO Shibata12%8%13%66%+0.2-4.7+3.4+1.1
South 1Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 2,00010%6%14%70%-4.7-3.80.0+8.6
South 2Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,0004%3%11%81%+22.2-13.7-7.4-1.2
South 3Sho Shiratori ron 6,400 from Daisuke Suzuki10%0%8%81%+34.1-2.0-6.5-25.7
South 4Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,00064%0%1%34%-28.9-3.7-4.9+37.6
South 4, 1 honbaDaisuke Suzuki ron 12,000 from HIRO Shibata3%0%0%97%-0.6-13.6+0.7+13.5
South 4, 2 honbaSho Shiratori ron 1,300 from Daisuke Suzuki0%0%0%100%+2.4+0.50.0-3.0

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)