Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/16 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+71.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Ken Sonoda tsumo 18,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +45.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Megumu Aikawa 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Megumu Aikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Rio Tojyo | 25% | 23% | 26% | 26% | -7.8 | +1.3 | +7.9 | -1.3 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 18,000 | 20% | 26% | 31% | 24% | -17.1 | +45.5 | -13.8 | -14.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 64% | 16% | 11% | -1.7 | -3.4 | +2.4 | +2.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Megumu Aikawa ron 2,600 from Rio Tojyo | 7% | 61% | 18% | 14% | -8.4 | 0.0 | -4.9 | +13.3 |
| East 4 | Megumu Aikawa tsumo 6,000 | 6% | 61% | 14% | 19% | -4.0 | -3.2 | -6.7 | +13.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 56% | 10% | 28% | -4.6 | -1.0 | +11.2 | -5.6 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Megumu Aikawa | 4% | 57% | 16% | 24% | -5.2 | +9.4 | +1.5 | -5.7 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 70% | 13% | 16% | -1.7 | -1.9 | -3.6 | +7.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 0% | 70% | 11% | 19% | -1.8 | +13.1 | -12.0 | +0.7 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 89% | 0% | 11% | -0.5 | -2.2 | -1.6 | +4.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 86% | 1% | 13% | -3.6 | +15.2 | -2.2 | -9.4 |