Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/16 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+71.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +45.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Aikawa Megumu 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Aikawa Megumu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Tojyo Rio | 25% | 27% | 22% | 26% | -9.7 | -2.2 | +11.3 | +0.6 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000 | 18% | 24% | 32% | 26% | -16.4 | +45.2 | -15.4 | -13.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 8% | 62% | 17% | 14% | +0.5 | -3.6 | +1.0 | +2.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Aikawa Megumu ron 2,600 from Tojyo Rio | 8% | 59% | 17% | 15% | -12.0 | +3.4 | -3.6 | +12.3 |
| East 4 | Aikawa Megumu tsumo 6,000 | 4% | 64% | 12% | 20% | -1.7 | -6.7 | -7.0 | +15.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 56% | 9% | 30% | -4.2 | +0.3 | +11.3 | -7.4 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Aikawa Megumu | 4% | 57% | 15% | 24% | -5.5 | +8.1 | +3.3 | -5.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 69% | 15% | 16% | -2.4 | -0.6 | -5.1 | +8.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,600 from Shiratori Sho | 0% | 70% | 11% | 19% | -1.1 | +12.2 | -11.7 | +0.6 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 88% | 1% | 11% | -0.5 | -1.6 | -2.3 | +4.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 86% | 1% | 14% | -3.8 | +15.3 | -1.4 | -10.1 |