Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/17 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+67.0pt). The game was decided in East 3, 3 honba: Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Shibukawa Namba, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +17.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 23% | 25% | 26% | 26% | -2.5 | +5.5 | -4.0 | +1.0 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,800 from Setokuma Naoki | 22% | 30% | 21% | 27% | +1.2 | +14.7 | -16.6 | +0.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 6,000 | 22% | 40% | 12% | 26% | -6.3 | +14.6 | -2.3 | -5.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 16% | 53% | 11% | 20% | +5.3 | -3.2 | +0.1 | -2.2 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Shibukawa Namba | 20% | 50% | 11% | 19% | -12.8 | +17.3 | -2.2 | -2.3 |
| East 4 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 9% | 70% | 7% | 14% | -0.4 | +2.6 | +20.9 | -23.1 |
| South 1 | Draw | 9% | 73% | 13% | 5% | +1.0 | +1.3 | -3.4 | +1.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 9% | 76% | 10% | 5% | +36.0 | -5.5 | -31.9 | +1.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 4,000 | 30% | 63% | 3% | 4% | -9.0 | +13.8 | -2.6 | -2.2 |
| South 2 | Shibukawa Namba ron 1,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 13% | 84% | 1% | 3% | +2.5 | +0.1 | -1.8 | -0.8 |
| South 3 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 87% | 2% | 2% | -6.4 | -1.4 | -15.2 | +23.0 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 4% | 89% | 0% | 7% | +1.4 | +7.1 | -0.4 | -8.1 |