Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/17 Game 2
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+68.6pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Yu Suzuki tsumo 18,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +47.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori ron 2,600 from Yu Suzuki | 26% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -2.4 | -6.5 | +7.4 | +1.5 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 21% | 29% | 27% | -3.0 | +6.4 | -1.8 | -1.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 22% | 24% | 28% | 26% | -16.3 | +47.3 | -15.2 | -15.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 2,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 10% | 63% | 15% | 12% | -3.9 | -0.2 | -1.2 | +5.3 |
| East 3 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 5,200 | 9% | 65% | 13% | 13% | -4.9 | -3.3 | -8.7 | +16.9 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,000 from Mari Takamiya | 6% | 63% | 8% | 23% | +5.6 | +4.1 | -0.8 | -8.8 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 8% | 70% | 8% | 15% | -9.8 | +13.7 | -2.3 | -1.6 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 87% | 4% | 8% | -5.2 | -2.3 | +9.0 | -1.6 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 87% | 6% | 6% | -4.0 | +8.2 | -5.9 | +1.6 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori ron 3,200 from Saki Kurosawa | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | -9.0 | +1.7 | +23.0 | -15.7 |