Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/19 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+49.5pt). The game was decided in East 4: Ken Sonoda tsumo 24,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +60.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kosuke Nagai ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 23% | 26% | 26% | 24% | -0.4 | +22.2 | -19.7 | -2.1 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 43% | 13% | 23% | -2.2 | -4.0 | +7.5 | -1.3 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori | 21% | 39% | 18% | 23% | +15.1 | -0.6 | -15.2 | +0.7 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 24,000 | 30% | 38% | 10% | 22% | -20.1 | -24.1 | -16.5 | +60.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 9% | 10% | 3% | 78% | +23.2 | +0.6 | -1.4 | -22.5 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 15% | 4% | 53% | -2.4 | -4.2 | +4.0 | +2.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 13% | 4% | 59% | +12.6 | -7.3 | -2.6 | -2.8 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 37% | 6% | 3% | 54% | -9.0 | -16.3 | +34.4 | -9.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 2,000 | 33% | 5% | 16% | 47% | +4.1 | +6.3 | -10.3 | -0.1 |
| South 4 | Kosuke Nagai ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 37% | 8% | 8% | 48% | -58.8 | +34.8 | +0.8 | +23.2 |