Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/19 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+49.5pt). The game was decided in East 4: Sonoda Ken tsumo 24,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +63.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nagai Kosuke ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 24% | 27% | 24% | 26% | -2.1 | +21.5 | -17.2 | -2.2 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 42% | 14% | 23% | +2.0 | -6.9 | +8.3 | -3.4 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo | 25% | 37% | 18% | 20% | +12.5 | +3.0 | -14.8 | -0.7 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 24,000 | 32% | 38% | 11% | 20% | -22.8 | -23.1 | -17.6 | +63.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 10% | 11% | 2% | 78% | +23.4 | -0.9 | +0.3 | -22.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 27% | 15% | 4% | 53% | -1.9 | -5.6 | +4.3 | +3.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 11% | 5% | 60% | +12.8 | -6.4 | -2.1 | -4.3 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 37% | 6% | 5% | 52% | -8.8 | -15.6 | +33.3 | -8.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 2,000 | 34% | 5% | 16% | 45% | +3.8 | +4.5 | -9.7 | +1.5 |
| South 4 | Nagai Kosuke ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 36% | 7% | 8% | 49% | -58.4 | +36.3 | -0.2 | +22.3 |