Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/20 Game 1
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+70.1pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +34.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -17.9 | +30.5 | -6.5 | -6.0 |
| East 2 | Draw | 13% | 50% | 19% | 19% | +1.6 | -3.2 | +3.6 | -2.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,900 from Suzuki Taro | 14% | 48% | 21% | 18% | +2.1 | -1.7 | +10.4 | -10.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,200 from Hagiwara Masato | 15% | 45% | 27% | 13% | +8.3 | +2.3 | -11.6 | +1.1 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 19% | 48% | 19% | 14% | -8.8 | -2.1 | +0.8 | +10.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 46% | 20% | 19% | -9.2 | -12.3 | -13.4 | +34.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Shimoishi Geki | 10% | 32% | 13% | 45% | +1.2 | -35.4 | +2.2 | +32.0 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 9,600 | 6% | 6% | 8% | 80% | -7.8 | -2.7 | -6.3 | +16.7 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 2% | 3% | 3% | 93% | +7.4 | +2.9 | -25.1 | +14.8 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Shimoishi Geki ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 1% | 1% | 0% | 98% | -2.6 | +10.3 | -1.2 | -6.5 |
| South 1 | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 97% | -10.9 | +16.6 | -4.3 | -1.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 3% | 0% | 97% | -1.2 | +2.9 | -1.0 | -0.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shimoishi Geki ron 7,700 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 3% | 0% | 96% | -0.6 | +18.6 | -1.3 | -16.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 20% | 1% | 80% | -5.7 | +29.7 | -3.7 | -20.3 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 61% | 0% | 39% | +13.6 | -6.7 | -5.8 | -1.2 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 58% | 1% | 41% | -1.1 | -2.1 | +2.1 | +1.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 55% | 0% | 45% | +2.3 | -11.2 | -7.8 | +16.7 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 6,400 from Shimoishi Geki | 0% | 26% | 0% | 74% | +7.4 | -16.2 | -0.5 | +9.3 |