Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/20 Game 1
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+70.1pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +33.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -16.8 | +31.1 | -8.2 | -6.1 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 51% | 17% | 20% | +2.6 | -4.8 | +5.4 | -3.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,900 from Taro Suzuki | 14% | 46% | 22% | 18% | -1.6 | -0.3 | +10.9 | -9.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,200 from Masato Hagiwara | 13% | 45% | 28% | 14% | +10.9 | +3.3 | -13.6 | -0.6 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 18% | 51% | 17% | 14% | -7.6 | -2.9 | -0.9 | +11.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 48% | 18% | 20% | -11.3 | -13.0 | -9.5 | +33.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 9% | 32% | 13% | 46% | +2.0 | -34.1 | +1.7 | +30.4 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 9,600 | 6% | 7% | 9% | 78% | -4.3 | -4.9 | -7.6 | +16.8 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 3% | 3% | 3% | 92% | +3.2 | +4.5 | -23.6 | +15.8 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Geki Shimoishi ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 1% | 1% | 0% | 98% | -0.9 | +10.5 | -3.2 | -6.4 |
| South 1 | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 98% | -11.2 | +14.8 | -2.1 | -1.5 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 3% | 1% | 97% | -0.7 | +3.6 | -1.6 | -1.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Geki Shimoishi ron 7,700 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 4% | 0% | 96% | -2.3 | +18.5 | -0.7 | -15.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 20% | 1% | 80% | -3.9 | +28.8 | -5.3 | -19.7 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 58% | 0% | 42% | +13.0 | -5.9 | -5.2 | -1.9 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 57% | 0% | 42% | -1.3 | -1.0 | +3.0 | -0.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 0% | 57% | 1% | 43% | +2.5 | -12.9 | -8.5 | +18.9 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 6,400 from Geki Shimoishi | 0% | 24% | 0% | 76% | +7.5 | -15.2 | -0.6 | +8.3 |