Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/20 Game 2
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+67.8pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Honda Tomohiro tsumo 7,800, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +24.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -11.2 | -4.2 | -5.0 | +20.4 |
| East 2 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro | 16% | 21% | 22% | 40% | +11.2 | -3.1 | -1.0 | -7.2 |
| East 3 | Draw | 23% | 20% | 21% | 36% | -0.5 | -1.8 | -3.5 | +5.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 7,800 | 23% | 19% | 18% | 40% | -8.5 | -7.0 | -9.1 | +24.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Shimoishi Geki ron 8,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 13% | 12% | 10% | 66% | -26.4 | -1.3 | +27.2 | +0.4 |
| South 1 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 18,000 | 5% | 8% | 21% | 66% | +49.7 | -16.0 | -17.3 | -16.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 30% | 7% | 15% | 49% | -27.0 | +20.4 | +0.8 | +5.7 |
| South 2 | Honda Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Shimoishi Geki | 12% | 14% | 16% | 59% | +0.6 | -1.0 | -18.0 | +18.4 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Shimoishi Geki | 5% | 5% | 6% | 84% | +1.2 | +4.0 | -14.5 | +9.3 |
| South 4 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 7,800 | 1% | 1% | 0% | 98% | -3.7 | -3.4 | -1.5 | +8.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +18.7 | -8.5 | -6.9 | -3.2 |