Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/20 Game 2
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+67.8pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Tomohiro Honda tsumo 7,800, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +25.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -10.9 | -6.7 | -3.8 | +21.4 |
| East 2 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Honda | 17% | 19% | 22% | 42% | +10.6 | -1.1 | -1.5 | -8.0 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 20% | 20% | 36% | -0.4 | -0.9 | -4.2 | +5.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 7,800 | 24% | 19% | 17% | 40% | -10.8 | -9.0 | -5.3 | +25.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Geki Shimoishi ron 8,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 13% | 10% | 12% | 66% | -25.3 | +0.5 | +25.6 | -0.8 |
| South 1 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 18,000 | 4% | 10% | 22% | 64% | +49.6 | -16.7 | -16.3 | -16.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 30% | 7% | 17% | 46% | -27.9 | +21.7 | -0.7 | +6.9 |
| South 2 | Tomohiro Honda ron 3,900 from Geki Shimoishi | 11% | 14% | 16% | 59% | +2.2 | -3.6 | -15.9 | +17.3 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 6% | 4% | 8% | 82% | +0.4 | +4.5 | -15.6 | +10.7 |
| South 4 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 7,800 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 99% | -3.7 | -2.3 | -2.5 | +8.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +18.9 | -8.8 | -6.8 | -3.3 |