Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

2/20 Table B Game 1

Kazuma Ishii finished 1st (+62.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kazuma Ishii tsumo 12,000, which moved Kazuma Ishii's expected points by +33.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Kazuma Ishii● Go Kobayashi● Kotaro Uchikawa● Takaki Asai0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Kazuma● Go● Kotaro● Takaki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultGo Kobayashi
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Kazuma Ishii
1st-place chance
Takaki Asai
1st-place chance
Go Kobayashi
Expected pt change
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
Kazuma Ishii
Expected pt change
Takaki Asai
Expected pt change
East 1Kazuma Ishii tsumo 12,00027%24%24%25%-20.5-5.4+33.4-7.5
East 2Kazuma Ishii ron 3,900 from Takaki Asai12%19%51%18%+0.3-5.1+12.4-7.5
East 3Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Takaki Asai10%11%65%14%+12.3+0.9-0.6-12.6
East 4Go Kobayashi ron 3,200 from Kotaro Uchikawa14%13%65%8%+8.5-7.6+3.5-4.3
South 1Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,00017%8%70%5%-14.3+23.7-5.8-3.6
South 2Go Kobayashi ron 5,200 from Kotaro Uchikawa10%20%65%5%+16.4-18.7+6.0-3.7
South 3Kazuma Ishii tsumo 7,80014%6%75%4%-7.1-5.2+16.0-3.7
South 3, 1 honbaTakaki Asai tsumo 8,0003%1%94%2%-2.6-6.2-4.4+13.1
South 4Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa1%0%95%3%+13.7-22.5+2.6+6.2

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)