Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

2/20 Table B Game 2

Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+60.6pt). The game was decided in South 1, 5 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +29.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 1End● Kotaro Uchikawa● Tomohiro Miura● Go Kobayashi● Sayaka Kayamori0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Kotaro● Tomohiro● Go● Sayaka
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTomohiro Miura
1st-place chance
Go Kobayashi
1st-place chance
Sayaka Kayamori
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Miura
Expected pt change
Go Kobayashi
Expected pt change
Sayaka Kayamori
Expected pt change
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
East 1Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,00025%25%25%26%-12.0-4.9-4.0+20.9
East 2Go Kobayashi tsumo 7,80017%22%21%40%-7.6+22.2-6.1-8.5
East 2, 1 honbaSayaka Kayamori ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa13%36%18%33%-0.5-1.0+11.4-10.0
East 3Exhaustive draw13%37%24%26%+8.8-1.7-4.8-2.3
East 4, 1 honbaKotaro Uchikawa tsumo 6,00018%36%21%26%-4.7-6.1-9.9+20.7
East 4, 2 honbaKotaro Uchikawa ron 2,900 from Go Kobayashi15%30%14%42%+1.0-12.4-0.3+11.7
East 4, 3 honbaExhaustive draw14%20%13%53%-0.5+4.0-1.7-1.7
South 1, 4 honbaTomohiro Miura tsumo 12,00013%22%14%51%+44.7-15.1-13.9-15.8
South 1, 5 honbaKotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi48%13%7%33%-6.3-24.8+1.3+29.8
South 2Tomohiro Miura ron 1,300 from Go Kobayashi30%3%4%63%+4.6-7.1+1.5+1.0
South 3Go Kobayashi ron 2,600 from Sayaka Kayamori34%0%3%63%-2.9+4.7-8.9+7.1
South 4Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,600 from Go Kobayashi22%0%0%78%-8.6-9.6+10.8+7.4

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)