Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/20 Table B Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+60.6pt). The game was decided in South 1, 5 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +29.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Miura 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Miura Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -12.0 | -4.9 | -4.0 | +20.9 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 7,800 | 17% | 22% | 21% | 40% | -7.6 | +22.2 | -6.1 | -8.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 13% | 36% | 18% | 33% | -0.5 | -1.0 | +11.4 | -10.0 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 37% | 24% | 26% | +8.8 | -1.7 | -4.8 | -2.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 6,000 | 18% | 36% | 21% | 26% | -4.7 | -6.1 | -9.9 | +20.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,900 from Go Kobayashi | 15% | 30% | 14% | 42% | +1.0 | -12.4 | -0.3 | +11.7 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 20% | 13% | 53% | -0.5 | +4.0 | -1.7 | -1.7 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Tomohiro Miura tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 22% | 14% | 51% | +44.7 | -15.1 | -13.9 | -15.8 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 48% | 13% | 7% | 33% | -6.3 | -24.8 | +1.3 | +29.8 |
| South 2 | Tomohiro Miura ron 1,300 from Go Kobayashi | 30% | 3% | 4% | 63% | +4.6 | -7.1 | +1.5 | +1.0 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,600 from Sayaka Kayamori | 34% | 0% | 3% | 63% | -2.9 | +4.7 | -8.9 | +7.1 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,600 from Go Kobayashi | 22% | 0% | 0% | 78% | -8.6 | -9.6 | +10.8 | +7.4 |