Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/23 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+77.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +51.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 23% | 26% | 24% | -12.2 | +24.1 | -6.3 | -5.6 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 7,800 | 17% | 41% | 21% | 21% | -8.2 | +19.8 | -5.2 | -6.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 11% | 60% | 15% | 14% | +0.9 | -20.7 | -1.1 | +20.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 40% | 18% | 29% | +2.9 | -3.7 | +4.3 | -3.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 5,200 | 15% | 38% | 20% | 27% | +18.3 | -1.6 | -14.1 | -2.6 |
| East 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 6,000 | 25% | 37% | 12% | 26% | -4.7 | -6.0 | -6.1 | +16.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 16,000 | 21% | 31% | 9% | 39% | -11.9 | +45.9 | -6.0 | -28.0 |
| South 1 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 79% | 4% | 8% | -10.0 | +14.4 | -3.9 | -0.5 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Okada ron 2,600 from Akina Mizuhara | 1% | 95% | 1% | 4% | +10.3 | +0.3 | -10.1 | -0.5 |
| South 3 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 96% | 1% | 3% | -5.9 | -3.0 | +19.1 | -10.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 95% | 2% | 3% | -6.2 | -0.6 | -13.4 | +20.1 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 97% | 0% | 3% | -5.3 | -5.2 | -4.1 | +14.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 90% | 0% | 9% | -6.3 | -38.4 | -6.4 | +51.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 90% | -4.8 | -7.9 | -3.8 | +16.5 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +3.4 | -1.6 | -3.0 | +1.2 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -20.3 | -1.9 | +28.2 | -6.0 |