Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/23 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+77.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +52.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -14.3 | +25.2 | -4.0 | -6.9 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 7,800 | 16% | 44% | 21% | 19% | -4.2 | +19.1 | -7.0 | -7.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 12% | 60% | 15% | 13% | -1.1 | -20.1 | -1.5 | +22.7 |
| East 3 | Draw | 13% | 42% | 15% | 30% | +2.4 | -5.7 | +4.8 | -1.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 5,200 | 14% | 37% | 19% | 29% | +20.2 | -2.1 | -12.7 | -5.4 |
| East 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 6,000 | 27% | 35% | 12% | 26% | -5.8 | -6.7 | -4.8 | +17.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 16,000 | 23% | 29% | 10% | 39% | -12.3 | +47.1 | -8.7 | -26.1 |
| South 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 78% | 4% | 10% | -10.3 | +15.1 | -2.2 | -2.5 |
| South 2 | Okada Sayaka ron 2,600 from Mizuhara Akina | 1% | 94% | 2% | 4% | +9.8 | -0.7 | -9.1 | -0.1 |
| South 3 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 95% | 1% | 4% | -5.9 | -2.3 | +18.6 | -10.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 95% | 2% | 3% | -6.2 | -1.0 | -13.3 | +20.5 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 95% | 0% | 4% | -4.9 | -3.7 | -4.6 | +13.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 92% | 0% | 8% | -7.0 | -39.0 | -6.0 | +52.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 90% | -4.1 | -8.0 | -4.3 | +16.4 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +3.4 | -1.7 | -3.1 | +1.4 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -20.5 | -2.0 | +28.5 | -6.0 |