Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/23 Game 2
Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+66.8pt). The game was decided in East 1: Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +31.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +31.5 | -9.8 | -11.2 | -10.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 8,000 | 50% | 17% | 16% | 17% | -11.6 | +21.3 | -3.6 | -6.1 |
| East 2 | Mari Takamiya ron 5,200 from Tomohiro Honda | 39% | 30% | 16% | 15% | +17.5 | -3.1 | -12.7 | -1.7 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 7,700 from Yu Suzuki | 56% | 23% | 9% | 12% | -1.2 | +1.1 | +17.9 | -17.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki | 53% | 25% | 15% | 7% | -0.3 | -2.0 | +9.8 | -7.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 2,600 from Namba Shibukawa | 53% | 23% | 20% | 5% | +1.0 | -5.8 | -1.3 | +6.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 55% | 19% | 18% | 7% | +0.8 | -4.5 | +1.8 | +1.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 56% | 17% | 20% | 7% | +9.5 | +0.8 | -7.1 | -3.2 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Honda | 70% | 14% | 12% | 4% | +1.5 | +1.4 | -12.9 | +10.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 75% | 13% | 7% | 5% | -2.9 | +6.8 | -1.5 | -2.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 70% | 17% | 8% | 5% | +0.4 | -12.8 | -12.0 | +24.3 |
| South 3 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 74% | 8% | 5% | 13% | +19.1 | +1.2 | -14.2 | -6.1 |
| South 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki | 96% | 0% | 0% | 4% | +1.4 | +8.0 | +2.7 | -12.2 |