Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/23 Game 2
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+66.8pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +32.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +32.2 | -11.7 | -9.8 | -10.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 8,000 | 49% | 17% | 18% | 17% | -12.5 | +22.6 | -5.8 | -4.3 |
| East 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 5,200 from Honda Tomohiro | 38% | 32% | 15% | 15% | +17.7 | -4.4 | -11.8 | -1.5 |
| East 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 7,700 from Suzuki Yu | 55% | 24% | 10% | 12% | -0.2 | +0.5 | +17.9 | -18.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Suzuki Yu | 54% | 23% | 16% | 7% | -1.8 | -1.6 | +9.8 | -6.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 2,600 from Shibukawa Namba | 52% | 22% | 21% | 5% | +4.0 | -5.1 | -3.3 | +4.5 |
| East 4 | Draw | 58% | 20% | 16% | 6% | -4.2 | -3.9 | +4.0 | +4.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 54% | 17% | 21% | 9% | +12.5 | -0.4 | -7.4 | -4.6 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro | 69% | 14% | 13% | 4% | +1.7 | +1.2 | -12.9 | +10.0 |
| South 2 | Draw | 75% | 13% | 7% | 5% | -3.6 | +8.3 | -2.0 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 70% | 18% | 7% | 5% | +1.9 | -14.9 | -11.1 | +24.1 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 76% | 7% | 5% | 11% | +17.9 | +1.7 | -14.6 | -5.0 |
| South 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Suzuki Yu | 96% | 0% | 0% | 4% | +1.6 | +8.6 | +2.7 | -12.9 |