Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/24 Game 1
Genta Takeuchi finished 1st (+52.5pt). The game was decided in South 3: Genta Takeuchi tsumo 8,000, which moved Genta Takeuchi's expected points by +39.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 23% | 26% | 26% | -5.5 | -1.4 | -1.7 | +8.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 5,200 | 19% | 24% | 25% | 32% | -0.9 | -12.4 | -5.6 | +18.9 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 14% | 19% | 50% | -5.2 | +24.2 | -14.5 | -4.5 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 29% | 11% | 44% | -3.5 | -2.4 | +7.2 | -1.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kazuma Ishii ron 2,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 14% | 27% | 15% | 44% | +8.3 | +1.7 | -1.3 | -8.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 30% | 15% | 36% | -15.7 | -8.0 | +28.5 | -4.7 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 25% | 34% | 32% | -4.1 | -15.1 | +24.5 | -5.3 |
| South 3 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 9% | 64% | 21% | -9.4 | -7.4 | -22.8 | +39.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 3% | 21% | 75% | -5.5 | +3.8 | -6.6 | +8.3 |