Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

2/24 Game 1

Genta Takeuchi finished 1st (+52.5pt). The game was decided in South 3: Genta Takeuchi tsumo 8,000, which moved Genta Takeuchi's expected points by +39.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Genta Takeuchi● Kazuma Ishii● Shingo Hori● Sho Shiratori0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Genta● Kazuma● Shingo● Sho
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKazuma Ishii
1st-place chance
Shingo Hori
1st-place chance
Sho Shiratori
1st-place chance
Genta Takeuchi
1st-place chance
Kazuma Ishii
Expected pt change
Shingo Hori
Expected pt change
Sho Shiratori
Expected pt change
Genta Takeuchi
Expected pt change
East 1Exhaustive draw25%23%26%26%-5.5-1.4-1.7+8.7
East 2, 1 honbaGenta Takeuchi tsumo 5,20019%24%25%32%-0.9-12.4-5.6+18.9
East 3Shingo Hori tsumo 8,00018%14%19%50%-5.2+24.2-14.5-4.5
East 4Exhaustive draw16%29%11%44%-3.5-2.4+7.2-1.3
South 1, 1 honbaKazuma Ishii ron 2,000 from Genta Takeuchi14%27%15%44%+8.3+1.7-1.3-8.7
South 1, 2 honbaSho Shiratori tsumo 8,00019%30%15%36%-15.7-8.0+28.5-4.7
South 2Sho Shiratori tsumo 4,0009%25%34%32%-4.1-15.1+24.5-5.3
South 3Genta Takeuchi tsumo 8,0005%9%64%21%-9.4-7.4-22.8+39.6
South 4Exhaustive draw1%3%21%75%-5.5+3.8-6.6+8.3

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)