Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/24 Game 2
Kazuma Ishii finished 1st (+55.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kazuma Ishii tsumo 8,000, which moved Kazuma Ishii's expected points by +49.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Namba Shibukawa ron 2,000 from Aiko Hinata | 26% | 26% | 23% | 26% | -9.8 | -0.4 | 0.0 | +10.2 |
| East 2 | Namba Shibukawa ron 2,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 18% | 25% | 24% | 33% | -0.3 | -8.2 | +2.0 | +6.6 |
| East 3 | Namba Shibukawa ron 2,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 18% | 19% | 25% | 38% | +2.3 | +0.4 | -12.1 | +9.3 |
| East 4 | Kazuma Ishii ron 1,600 from Hiroshi Daigo | 19% | 18% | 16% | 47% | -1.3 | -4.1 | +10.0 | -4.5 |
| South 1 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 17% | 22% | 43% | -8.4 | -5.0 | -2.9 | +16.4 |
| South 2 | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 12% | 17% | 62% | -5.4 | -10.9 | +12.2 | +4.0 |
| South 3 | Kazuma Ishii ron 1,500 from Namba Shibukawa | 5% | 4% | 20% | 71% | -0.2 | -1.3 | +6.3 | -4.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 1,100 | 6% | 4% | 27% | 64% | -6.6 | +7.0 | -7.8 | +7.4 |
| South 4 | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 5% | 13% | 79% | -14.0 | +0.4 | +49.8 | -36.2 |