Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/24 Game 2
Ishii Kazuma finished 1st (+55.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Ishii Kazuma tsumo 8,000, which moved Ishii Kazuma's expected points by +48.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,000 from Hinata Aiko | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -9.4 | -0.8 | +1.8 | +8.4 |
| East 2 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 19% | 25% | 25% | 31% | +1.3 | -7.4 | -1.3 | +7.4 |
| East 3 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,000 from Ishii Kazuma | 20% | 18% | 26% | 36% | 0.0 | -0.2 | -10.4 | +10.6 |
| East 4 | Ishii Kazuma ron 1,600 from Daigo Hiroshi | 18% | 18% | 17% | 47% | -2.9 | -4.0 | +10.2 | -3.3 |
| South 1 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 4,000 | 17% | 17% | 23% | 44% | -8.0 | -4.1 | -4.5 | +16.6 |
| South 2 | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 4,000 | 7% | 11% | 17% | 64% | -3.6 | -12.1 | +13.1 | +2.5 |
| South 3 | Ishii Kazuma ron 1,500 from Shibukawa Namba | 6% | 4% | 21% | 70% | -0.6 | +0.3 | +6.0 | -5.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 1,100 | 5% | 5% | 28% | 62% | -5.8 | +4.9 | -7.7 | +8.6 |
| South 4 | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 4% | 14% | 78% | -14.2 | +1.6 | +48.8 | -36.2 |