Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

2/26 Game 1

Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+51.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Tojyo Rio ron 3,900 from Daigo Hiroshi, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +44.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Tojyo Rio● Daigo Hiroshi● HIRO Shibata● Nakabayashi Kei0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Tojyo● Daigo● HIRO● Nakabayashi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultDaigo Hiroshi
1st-place chance
HIRO Shibata
1st-place chance
Tojyo Rio
1st-place chance
Nakabayashi Kei
1st-place chance
Daigo Hiroshi
Expected pt change
HIRO Shibata
Expected pt change
Tojyo Rio
Expected pt change
Nakabayashi Kei
Expected pt change
East 1Tojyo Rio tsumo 2,00027%25%25%24%-5.7-1.8+7.2+0.2
East 2Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,00023%23%30%25%-4.7-11.4-7.1+23.2
East 3HIRO Shibata tsumo 8,00019%16%23%42%-7.4+23.3-13.3-2.6
East 4Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata15%30%15%40%+0.4-23.1+26.3-3.6
South 1HIRO Shibata tsumo 8,00014%15%34%37%-15.1+25.1-6.3-3.6
South 2Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 1,1008%30%29%33%-4.7-1.6-1.9+8.2
South 3Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata5%28%26%42%+30.2-42.0+2.1+9.7
South 4Tojyo Rio ron 3,900 from Daigo Hiroshi15%6%23%56%-14.4-8.3+44.9-22.1

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)