Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/26 Game 1
Rio Tojyo finished 1st (+51.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Rio Tojyo ron 3,900 from Hiroshi Daigo, which moved Rio Tojyo's expected points by +46.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 2,000 | 23% | 25% | 27% | 26% | -4.2 | +0.1 | +6.3 | -2.2 |
| East 2 | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 25% | 31% | 24% | -3.1 | -15.1 | -6.0 | +24.1 |
| East 3 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 14% | 25% | 43% | -6.2 | +26.8 | -16.6 | -3.9 |
| East 4 | Rio Tojyo ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata | 15% | 30% | 15% | 40% | -0.6 | -26.3 | +26.9 | -0.1 |
| South 1 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 14% | 32% | 39% | -16.9 | +28.4 | -6.4 | -5.1 |
| South 2 | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 1,100 | 6% | 34% | 26% | 34% | -1.9 | -2.7 | -1.6 | +6.3 |
| South 3 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata | 6% | 29% | 24% | 41% | +30.2 | -42.5 | +1.7 | +10.6 |
| South 4 | Rio Tojyo ron 3,900 from Hiroshi Daigo | 17% | 6% | 20% | 57% | -15.5 | -8.5 | +46.4 | -22.4 |