Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

2/26 Game 2

Nakada Kana finished 1st (+59.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Nakada Kana tsumo 12,000, which moved Nakada Kana's expected points by +35.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 1End● Nakada Kana● Miura Tomohiro● Asai Takaki● Suzuki Yu0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Nakada● Miura● Asai● Suzuki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMiura Tomohiro
1st-place chance
Asai Takaki
1st-place chance
Suzuki Yu
1st-place chance
Nakada Kana
1st-place chance
Miura Tomohiro
Expected pt change
Asai Takaki
Expected pt change
Suzuki Yu
Expected pt change
Nakada Kana
Expected pt change
East 1Miura Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Asai Takaki26%24%26%24%+32.8-28.4-0.5-3.8
East 1, 1 honbaAsai Takaki ron 2,600 from Suzuki Yu51%9%22%19%-3.6+8.6-8.4+3.4
East 2Asai Takaki ron 12,000 from Miura Tomohiro48%12%18%22%-32.8+35.4+1.2-3.8
East 2, 1 honbaSuzuki Yu tsumo 8,00022%36%21%21%-7.4-11.6+22.8-3.8
East 3Miura Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu18%25%36%21%+26.3+0.8-25.5-1.6
East 4Nakada Kana tsumo 12,00037%27%18%19%-13.0-11.5-10.6+35.1
East 4, 1 honbaNakada Kana ron 2,900 from Miura Tomohiro25%19%12%45%-11.6-0.9+0.7+11.8
East 4, 2 honbaMiura Tomohiro tsumo 2,00016%15%10%58%+5.6-2.0-2.5-1.1
South 1Miura Tomohiro tsumo 6,00018%15%10%57%+21.2-4.4-7.7-9.1
South 1, 1 honbaAsai Takaki tsumo 4,00036%13%7%44%-7.7+14.0-7.2+0.9
South 2Draw27%20%5%48%+4.8-7.9-4.2+7.3
South 3, 1 honbaDraw30%11%4%55%-0.6-1.4-5.7+7.6
South 4, 2 honbaNakada Kana ron 3,900 from Miura Tomohiro22%8%1%69%-15.7+0.9-0.5+15.4
South 4, 3 honbaAsai Takaki ron 2,000 from Miura Tomohiro3%3%0%93%-16.7+16.2-1.1+1.6

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)