Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/26 Game 2
Nakada Kana finished 1st (+59.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Nakada Kana tsumo 12,000, which moved Nakada Kana's expected points by +35.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Miura Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Miura Tomohiro Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Miura Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Asai Takaki | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | +32.8 | -28.4 | -0.5 | -3.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Asai Takaki ron 2,600 from Suzuki Yu | 51% | 9% | 22% | 19% | -3.6 | +8.6 | -8.4 | +3.4 |
| East 2 | Asai Takaki ron 12,000 from Miura Tomohiro | 48% | 12% | 18% | 22% | -32.8 | +35.4 | +1.2 | -3.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 36% | 21% | 21% | -7.4 | -11.6 | +22.8 | -3.8 |
| East 3 | Miura Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 18% | 25% | 36% | 21% | +26.3 | +0.8 | -25.5 | -1.6 |
| East 4 | Nakada Kana tsumo 12,000 | 37% | 27% | 18% | 19% | -13.0 | -11.5 | -10.6 | +35.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nakada Kana ron 2,900 from Miura Tomohiro | 25% | 19% | 12% | 45% | -11.6 | -0.9 | +0.7 | +11.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Miura Tomohiro tsumo 2,000 | 16% | 15% | 10% | 58% | +5.6 | -2.0 | -2.5 | -1.1 |
| South 1 | Miura Tomohiro tsumo 6,000 | 18% | 15% | 10% | 57% | +21.2 | -4.4 | -7.7 | -9.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Asai Takaki tsumo 4,000 | 36% | 13% | 7% | 44% | -7.7 | +14.0 | -7.2 | +0.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 27% | 20% | 5% | 48% | +4.8 | -7.9 | -4.2 | +7.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 30% | 11% | 4% | 55% | -0.6 | -1.4 | -5.7 | +7.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Nakada Kana ron 3,900 from Miura Tomohiro | 22% | 8% | 1% | 69% | -15.7 | +0.9 | -0.5 | +15.4 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Asai Takaki ron 2,000 from Miura Tomohiro | 3% | 3% | 0% | 93% | -16.7 | +16.2 | -1.1 | +1.6 |