Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/26 Game 2
Kana Nakada finished 1st (+59.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kana Nakada tsumo 12,000, which moved Kana Nakada's expected points by +35.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Miura 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Miura Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Miura ron 12,000 from Takaki Asai | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +31.8 | -28.3 | -1.5 | -2.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takaki Asai ron 2,600 from Yu Suzuki | 48% | 11% | 21% | 20% | -1.2 | +5.6 | -5.5 | +1.1 |
| East 2 | Takaki Asai ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Miura | 49% | 11% | 18% | 21% | -34.4 | +35.9 | +1.4 | -3.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 35% | 22% | 22% | -4.2 | -11.3 | +20.4 | -5.0 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Miura ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 19% | 26% | 35% | 20% | +23.5 | +1.3 | -24.6 | -0.2 |
| East 4 | Kana Nakada tsumo 12,000 | 36% | 27% | 18% | 20% | -13.8 | -12.4 | -9.5 | +35.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kana Nakada ron 2,900 from Tomohiro Miura | 23% | 18% | 12% | 47% | -11.9 | +0.2 | +0.2 | +11.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Tomohiro Miura tsumo 2,000 | 15% | 16% | 10% | 58% | +9.3 | -2.6 | -3.8 | -2.9 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Miura tsumo 6,000 | 19% | 15% | 10% | 56% | +19.8 | -5.7 | -6.8 | -7.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takaki Asai tsumo 4,000 | 35% | 12% | 7% | 47% | -6.9 | +13.8 | -7.4 | +0.5 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 18% | 5% | 49% | +3.7 | -6.1 | -3.2 | +5.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 12% | 5% | 53% | -0.1 | -2.1 | -7.3 | +9.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kana Nakada ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Miura | 22% | 7% | 0% | 71% | -17.2 | +2.2 | +0.1 | +14.9 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Takaki Asai ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Miura | 3% | 3% | 0% | 93% | -15.6 | +15.3 | -1.0 | +1.4 |