Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/27 Game 2
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+66.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +24.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 23% | 27% | 24% | -14.2 | -5.0 | -5.7 | +24.9 |
| East 2 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 19% | 22% | 44% | -6.2 | -16.8 | +33.1 | -10.1 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 11% | 10% | 47% | 32% | -0.4 | -19.0 | -3.1 | +22.5 |
| East 4 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 8% | 4% | 37% | 51% | -0.7 | -4.3 | +4.9 | +0.1 |
| South 1 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 7% | 2% | 41% | 50% | -7.0 | -0.5 | +7.9 | -0.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 2% | 2% | 50% | 46% | +3.3 | -6.7 | -5.1 | +8.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 1% | 0% | 40% | 59% | +1.1 | -14.6 | +28.2 | -14.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Watanabe Futoshi | 0% | 0% | 78% | 22% | -0.2 | +0.6 | -18.0 | +17.6 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 0% | 48% | 52% | -2.9 | +0.1 | -10.7 | +13.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Nikaido Aki | 0% | 0% | 22% | 78% | +0.3 | +3.1 | -8.0 | +4.7 |