Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
2/27 Game 2
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+66.0pt). The game was decided in East 3: Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +23.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 26% | 23% | 26% | -11.9 | -7.6 | -3.6 | +23.1 |
| East 2 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 19% | 20% | 43% | -8.4 | -18.5 | +35.3 | -8.5 |
| East 3 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 10% | 10% | 47% | 33% | +0.2 | -18.6 | -5.3 | +23.7 |
| East 4 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 8% | 3% | 36% | 53% | +0.1 | -4.8 | +7.3 | -2.7 |
| South 1 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 7% | 2% | 43% | 49% | -6.3 | -1.4 | +7.1 | +0.7 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 2% | 50% | 47% | +3.2 | -6.3 | -5.4 | +8.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 1% | 0% | 38% | 61% | +0.6 | -13.5 | +29.4 | -16.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 3,900 from Futoshi Watanabe | 0% | 0% | 79% | 20% | -0.1 | +0.2 | -18.0 | +17.9 |
| South 4 | Aki Nikaido ron 2,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% | -3.3 | 0.0 | -10.9 | +14.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Aki Nikaido | 0% | 0% | 23% | 77% | +0.3 | +3.4 | -8.5 | +4.9 |