Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/2 Game 2
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+55.2pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +30.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +2.0 | +3.6 | -2.6 | -2.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 27% | 26% | 24% | 23% | +30.7 | +0.9 | -30.6 | -1.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 5,200 | 50% | 23% | 8% | 19% | -7.6 | +15.6 | -1.0 | -7.0 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 16,000 | 41% | 35% | 8% | 16% | -7.3 | -20.9 | +36.4 | -8.1 |
| East 3 | Takamiya Mari ron 3,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 37% | 22% | 26% | 15% | +17.4 | -0.4 | -3.5 | -13.5 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,700 | 56% | 18% | 18% | 8% | -2.2 | +13.2 | -1.6 | -9.5 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 1,000 from Takamiya Mari | 53% | 27% | 16% | 4% | -1.6 | -1.5 | +2.9 | +0.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 53% | 24% | 18% | 4% | +3.2 | -2.4 | -3.3 | +2.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 59% | 20% | 16% | 5% | 0.0 | +19.6 | -8.3 | -11.3 |
| South 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 1,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 56% | 37% | 6% | 2% | +19.7 | -12.1 | -3.9 | -3.7 |