Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/2 Game 2
Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+55.2pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Mari Takamiya ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +30.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +4.3 | +3.6 | -2.2 | -5.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 28% | 27% | 24% | 22% | +30.8 | +0.1 | -29.5 | -1.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 5,200 | 52% | 23% | 8% | 18% | -10.1 | +18.6 | -4.1 | -4.4 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 16,000 | 40% | 37% | 8% | 16% | -5.6 | -21.1 | +37.9 | -11.2 |
| East 3 | Mari Takamiya ron 3,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 39% | 22% | 25% | 13% | +15.0 | -0.7 | -3.5 | -10.8 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,700 | 55% | 19% | 19% | 8% | +0.4 | +9.8 | -0.6 | -9.5 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 1,000 from Mari Takamiya | 54% | 24% | 18% | 4% | -3.0 | +0.6 | +2.5 | -0.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 53% | 24% | 19% | 4% | +3.0 | -2.1 | -4.1 | +3.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 59% | 20% | 16% | 5% | -0.4 | +18.9 | -7.6 | -10.9 |
| South 4 | Mari Takamiya ron 1,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 55% | 36% | 6% | 2% | +20.7 | -11.6 | -4.6 | -4.5 |