Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/3 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+60.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +39.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 6,000 | 25% | 27% | 24% | 24% | +19.0 | -7.7 | -4.4 | -6.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shota Akutsu ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 38% | 21% | 21% | 20% | -20.5 | -0.8 | +20.0 | +1.3 |
| East 2 | Shota Akutsu ron 1,000 from Sho Shiratori | 23% | 20% | 36% | 21% | -1.0 | -5.0 | +6.3 | -0.3 |
| East 3 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 16% | 41% | 21% | +25.4 | -4.6 | -13.7 | -7.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 43% | 13% | 28% | 17% | -3.0 | -1.9 | -3.3 | +8.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Shota Akutsu | 40% | 13% | 24% | 23% | +2.0 | +19.7 | -16.6 | -5.2 |
| South 1 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 18,000 | 44% | 23% | 16% | 17% | +42.2 | -15.7 | -15.0 | -11.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 5,200 | 87% | 6% | 3% | 4% | -4.5 | +14.5 | -4.4 | -5.6 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 84% | 9% | 3% | 4% | -13.4 | +28.6 | -7.0 | -8.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shota Akutsu tsumo 5,200 | 63% | 33% | 2% | 2% | +2.6 | -9.4 | +12.7 | -6.0 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 72% | 21% | 4% | 3% | -0.4 | -0.9 | +2.8 | -1.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,200 from Rio Tojyo | 72% | 22% | 5% | 2% | -6.6 | +2.6 | -5.5 | +9.5 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 68% | 27% | 1% | 5% | -34.8 | +39.6 | +6.3 | -11.1 |