Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

3/3 Game 1

Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+60.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +39.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Shiratori Sho● Tojyo Rio● Akutsu Shota● Kurosawa Saki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Shiratori● Tojyo● Akutsu● Kurosawa
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTojyo Rio
1st-place chance
Shiratori Sho
1st-place chance
Akutsu Shota
1st-place chance
Kurosawa Saki
1st-place chance
Tojyo Rio
Expected pt change
Shiratori Sho
Expected pt change
Akutsu Shota
Expected pt change
Kurosawa Saki
Expected pt change
East 1Tojyo Rio tsumo 6,00026%25%24%25%+21.9-10.8-5.5-5.6
East 1, 1 honbaAkutsu Shota ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio42%18%19%21%-24.4+3.1+23.7-2.5
East 2Akutsu Shota ron 1,000 from Shiratori Sho22%20%37%21%+1.3-6.7+4.1+1.3
East 3Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,00023%15%40%22%+25.2-5.4-13.0-6.9
East 4Draw45%12%28%16%-3.5+0.4-2.0+5.1
East 4, 1 honbaShiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Akutsu Shota41%13%26%20%+0.5+20.4-18.5-2.4
South 1Tojyo Rio tsumo 18,00043%24%17%17%+42.8-17.5-13.6-11.7
South 1, 1 honbaShiratori Sho tsumo 5,20087%5%3%5%-4.0+14.7-4.9-5.8
South 2Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,00085%8%3%3%-12.7+28.5-8.2-7.5
South 2, 1 honbaAkutsu Shota tsumo 5,20065%30%2%2%+2.8-7.4+12.1-7.5
South 3Draw74%21%4%2%-3.2-0.8+4.5-0.4
South 3, 1 honbaKurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Tojyo Rio70%23%5%2%-5.3+2.0-6.7+10.0
South 4Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio68%26%0%5%-34.8+39.7+6.4-11.3

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)