Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/3 Game 2
Nakada Kana finished 1st (+51.9pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Nakada Kana tsumo 12,000, which moved Nakada Kana's expected points by +34.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 27% | 24% | -2.9 | -2.0 | +5.5 | -0.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nakada Kana tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 22% | 30% | 24% | -12.5 | +34.9 | -10.3 | -12.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 5,200 from Nakada Kana | 14% | 50% | 20% | 16% | +1.0 | -21.1 | +20.4 | -0.3 |
| East 3 | Nakada Kana tsumo 6,400 | 16% | 30% | 37% | 17% | -5.4 | +27.1 | -15.2 | -6.4 |
| East 4 | Nakada Kana tsumo 1,500 | 9% | 58% | 20% | 13% | -1.2 | +6.8 | -0.9 | -4.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 9% | 67% | 17% | 7% | +7.1 | -2.7 | -1.9 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 2,700 | 13% | 63% | 18% | 7% | -9.0 | -0.7 | +11.8 | -2.1 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,600 from Honda Tomohiro | 5% | 64% | 25% | 6% | +6.5 | +3.7 | -8.4 | -1.7 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana | 6% | 73% | 15% | 6% | +41.6 | -28.0 | -9.3 | -4.3 |
| South 4 | Shibukawa Namba ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 47% | 32% | 14% | 7% | -20.2 | +9.6 | +2.9 | +7.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nakada Kana ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 24% | 49% | 16% | 11% | +0.6 | +25.9 | -13.0 | -13.4 |