Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/5 Game 1
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+50.0pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Asai Takaki ron 8,000 from Asami Maki, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +41.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shimoishi Geki ron 1,500 from Asai Takaki | 24% | 25% | 27% | 24% | +8.3 | +0.2 | -6.9 | -1.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 6,000 | 30% | 25% | 21% | 24% | +16.2 | -4.3 | -5.4 | -6.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Draw | 43% | 21% | 18% | 19% | -5.2 | -3.6 | +4.7 | +4.0 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Asami Maki ron 7,700 from Shimoishi Geki | 39% | 19% | 21% | 22% | -23.6 | +20.1 | +1.5 | +2.0 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Asami Maki tsumo 3,900 | 21% | 33% | 22% | 24% | -3.8 | +16.0 | -6.4 | -5.8 |
| East 2, 5 honba | Draw | 18% | 46% | 17% | 19% | +2.9 | -5.1 | +4.4 | -2.2 |
| East 3, 6 honba | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 42% | 20% | 18% | +40.4 | -9.7 | -19.3 | -11.4 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 4,800 from Asai Takaki | 53% | 28% | 7% | 11% | -0.4 | -2.1 | -10.8 | +13.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 53% | 26% | 5% | 16% | -14.7 | -10.2 | -9.7 | +34.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Asami Maki tsumo 5,200 | 35% | 19% | 4% | 42% | -4.6 | +16.0 | -3.1 | -8.3 |
| South 1 | Asai Takaki ron 3,200 from Shimoishi Geki | 31% | 32% | 3% | 33% | -8.2 | +1.7 | +2.7 | +3.8 |
| South 2 | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 1,500 | 24% | 35% | 3% | 39% | +11.4 | -8.4 | -0.6 | -2.4 |
| South 3 | Asami Maki tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 26% | 3% | 36% | -13.4 | +36.5 | -10.0 | -13.1 |
| South 4 | Draw | 11% | 74% | 0% | 16% | +4.0 | -5.6 | -0.9 | +2.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Asai Takaki ron 8,000 from Asami Maki | 17% | 63% | 0% | 20% | -0.4 | -52.2 | +11.3 | +41.3 |