Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/5 Game 1
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+50.0pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Takaki Asai ron 8,000 from Maki Asami, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +39.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Geki Shimoishi ron 1,500 from Takaki Asai | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | +6.4 | +1.3 | -3.8 | -3.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 6,000 | 30% | 25% | 21% | 23% | +15.3 | -6.8 | -3.8 | -4.7 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 40% | 21% | 18% | 20% | -3.5 | -4.8 | +2.7 | +5.6 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Maki Asami ron 7,700 from Geki Shimoishi | 38% | 19% | 21% | 23% | -21.9 | +23.1 | +1.4 | -2.6 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Maki Asami tsumo 3,900 | 22% | 34% | 21% | 22% | -7.1 | +15.9 | -4.4 | -4.4 |
| East 2, 5 honba | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 47% | 17% | 19% | +4.5 | -5.4 | +5.0 | -4.1 |
| East 3, 6 honba | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 44% | 22% | 16% | +40.3 | -10.0 | -21.3 | -8.9 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 4,800 from Takaki Asai | 52% | 29% | 8% | 11% | +0.1 | -2.9 | -10.2 | +13.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 52% | 25% | 6% | 17% | -13.1 | -12.2 | -10.5 | +35.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Maki Asami tsumo 5,200 | 36% | 18% | 4% | 43% | -3.6 | +16.9 | -4.1 | -9.1 |
| South 1 | Takaki Asai ron 3,200 from Geki Shimoishi | 33% | 31% | 3% | 34% | -11.6 | +4.1 | +4.9 | +2.6 |
| South 2 | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 1,500 | 23% | 36% | 3% | 38% | +12.4 | -10.7 | -2.0 | +0.3 |
| South 3 | Maki Asami tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 24% | 3% | 38% | -13.1 | +37.9 | -9.6 | -15.2 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 74% | 0% | 15% | +3.6 | -6.1 | -1.5 | +4.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takaki Asai ron 8,000 from Maki Asami | 18% | 62% | 0% | 20% | +0.2 | -52.0 | +11.8 | +39.9 |