Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

3/5 Game 2

Geki Shimoishi finished 1st (+58.3pt). The game was decided in East 1: Geki Shimoishi tsumo 8,000, which moved Geki Shimoishi's expected points by +24.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Geki Shimoishi● Hiroshi Daigo● Kotaro Uchikawa● Taro Suzuki0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Geki● Hiroshi● Kotaro● Taro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHiroshi Daigo
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Taro Suzuki
1st-place chance
Geki Shimoishi
1st-place chance
Hiroshi Daigo
Expected pt change
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
Taro Suzuki
Expected pt change
Geki Shimoishi
Expected pt change
East 1Geki Shimoishi tsumo 8,00027%26%24%23%-13.5-7.3-3.8+24.6
East 2Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki17%21%20%43%+1.8+27.1-28.8-0.1
East 2, 1 honbaKotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki15%37%8%40%-0.7+11.5-8.7-2.0
East 2, 2 honbaHiroshi Daigo ron 3,200 from Taro Suzuki14%47%5%35%+8.9-1.7-5.6-1.6
East 3Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 1,10017%46%4%34%+5.3+0.3-5.8+0.3
East 4Geki Shimoishi ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa20%45%2%33%-1.1-11.3+0.9+11.5
East 4, 1 honbaKotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki19%33%2%47%-3.6+8.6-1.5-3.5
South 1Exhaustive draw15%41%2%41%-7.1-4.0+0.4+10.7
South 2, 1 honbaGeki Shimoishi tsumo 2,0009%34%1%56%-1.9-8.7-2.3+12.8
South 3Exhaustive draw4%19%1%76%+3.0-2.7-3.7+3.4
South 4, 1 honbaTaro Suzuki tsumo 4,0005%10%0%85%-7.5-1.2+5.8+2.9

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)