Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

3/5 Game 2

Shimoishi Geki finished 1st (+58.3pt). The game was decided in East 1: Shimoishi Geki tsumo 8,000, which moved Shimoishi Geki's expected points by +25.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Shimoishi Geki● Daigo Hiroshi● Uchikawa Kotaro● Suzuki Taro0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Shimoishi● Daigo● Uchikawa● Suzuki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultDaigo Hiroshi
1st-place chance
Uchikawa Kotaro
1st-place chance
Suzuki Taro
1st-place chance
Shimoishi Geki
1st-place chance
Daigo Hiroshi
Expected pt change
Uchikawa Kotaro
Expected pt change
Suzuki Taro
Expected pt change
Shimoishi Geki
Expected pt change
East 1Shimoishi Geki tsumo 8,00027%25%24%24%-15.2-6.3-3.8+25.3
East 2Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro15%19%22%44%+0.8+27.9-28.5-0.3
East 2, 1 honbaUchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro14%37%8%42%-0.2+11.6-6.3-5.1
East 2, 2 honbaDaigo Hiroshi ron 3,200 from Suzuki Taro12%47%6%35%+12.1-1.8-10.0-0.2
East 3Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 1,10019%45%4%32%+3.5+0.9-4.0-0.5
East 4Shimoishi Geki ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro19%47%2%32%-0.8-12.8+0.7+12.8
East 4, 1 honbaUchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Suzuki Taro20%31%2%47%-2.3+9.3-4.1-2.9
South 1Draw17%41%1%41%-8.1-4.1+2.1+10.0
South 2, 1 honbaShimoishi Geki tsumo 2,0009%34%2%55%-3.4-7.4-1.5+12.3
South 3Draw5%21%1%74%+4.5-3.7-4.6+3.8
South 4, 1 honbaSuzuki Taro tsumo 4,0004%12%0%83%-7.9-1.4+5.7+3.6

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)