Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/6 Game 1
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+74.0pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Akina Mizuhara tsumo 5,200, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +35.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Miura 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change | Tomohiro Miura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -11.1 | -8.0 | +22.3 | -3.2 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 16% | 19% | 42% | 23% | +24.4 | -23.8 | +1.4 | -1.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 7% | 42% | 19% | -2.4 | -1.8 | +3.8 | +0.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Miura | 28% | 7% | 45% | 20% | -0.7 | +22.6 | 0.0 | -21.9 |
| East 4 | Akina Mizuhara ron 6,400 from Kosuke Nagai | 28% | 16% | 46% | 10% | +21.8 | +0.3 | -16.7 | -5.3 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Miura ron 3,200 from Naoki Setokuma | 51% | 15% | 28% | 7% | +2.4 | -10.7 | -0.8 | +9.1 |
| South 2 | Naoki Setokuma ron 18,000 from Tomohiro Miura | 56% | 10% | 25% | 10% | -10.5 | +54.2 | -6.5 | -37.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Miura | 34% | 49% | 17% | 1% | -10.0 | +28.8 | -5.0 | -13.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Miura | 12% | 80% | 8% | 0% | +30.6 | -11.3 | -5.4 | -13.9 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 41% | 55% | 4% | 0% | -5.4 | +9.3 | -5.7 | +1.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 5,200 | 27% | 73% | 0% | 0% | +35.7 | -30.1 | -1.3 | -4.2 |