Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/6 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+74.0pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 5,200, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +34.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Miura Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change | Miura Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -10.8 | -6.5 | +22.6 | -5.3 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 17% | 21% | 42% | 21% | +24.5 | -25.5 | 0.0 | +1.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 32% | 7% | 40% | 21% | -2.7 | +0.5 | +4.6 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Miura Tomohiro | 29% | 8% | 44% | 19% | -1.0 | +22.9 | +0.6 | -22.4 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 6,400 from Nagai Kosuke | 29% | 17% | 45% | 9% | +22.7 | -1.4 | -16.8 | -4.6 |
| South 1 | Miura Tomohiro ron 3,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 52% | 15% | 27% | 6% | +2.8 | -11.1 | +0.8 | +7.5 |
| South 2 | Setokuma Naoki ron 18,000 from Miura Tomohiro | 57% | 10% | 25% | 8% | -11.4 | +53.8 | -7.4 | -35.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Miura Tomohiro | 35% | 46% | 18% | 1% | -10.2 | +29.6 | -5.4 | -13.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Miura Tomohiro | 13% | 80% | 8% | 0% | +31.1 | -12.4 | -4.7 | -14.0 |
| South 3 | Draw | 42% | 53% | 5% | 0% | -5.3 | +9.5 | -6.0 | +1.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 5,200 | 29% | 71% | 0% | 0% | +34.9 | -29.4 | -1.6 | -4.0 |