Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/6 Game 2
Kazuma Ishii finished 1st (+73.4pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Kazuma Ishii ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Kazuma Ishii's expected points by +29.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 27% | 23% | +6.0 | -2.3 | -3.5 | -0.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kazuma Ishii ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 29% | 23% | 23% | 25% | +29.9 | -0.1 | -2.4 | -27.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 1,500 | 53% | 20% | 18% | 10% | +5.6 | -2.5 | -0.6 | -2.6 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Kazuma Ishii ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 59% | 17% | 17% | 7% | +26.4 | -27.9 | +2.0 | -0.4 |
| East 1, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 80% | 4% | 11% | 5% | +0.1 | +1.4 | +1.8 | -3.3 |
| East 1, 5 honba | Exhaustive draw | 81% | 4% | 11% | 4% | -0.2 | -0.7 | +3.2 | -2.3 |
| East 2, 6 honba | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 8,000 | 82% | 4% | 11% | 3% | -7.7 | -12.9 | +25.3 | -4.7 |
| East 3 | Kazuma Ishii ron 1,300 from Kei Nakabayashi | 71% | 1% | 26% | 3% | +4.2 | +1.5 | -4.7 | -1.0 |
| East 4 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 6,000 | 77% | 1% | 19% | 2% | -1.9 | -6.4 | -3.0 | +11.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 78% | 1% | 18% | 3% | -1.7 | +3.1 | -1.9 | +0.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 8,000 | 76% | 1% | 19% | 4% | -8.1 | -2.4 | +20.3 | -9.7 |
| South 1 | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 12,000 | 61% | 1% | 37% | 1% | +22.3 | -3.9 | -13.3 | -5.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 86% | 1% | 13% | 0% | +1.8 | -3.0 | +0.8 | +0.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 87% | 0% | 12% | 1% | -0.1 | +19.4 | +0.9 | -20.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 88% | 1% | 11% | 0% | -1.4 | +3.2 | -1.3 | -0.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 88% | 1% | 11% | 0% | -1.9 | +2.9 | -0.6 | -0.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 86% | 1% | 12% | 0% | -1.1 | +3.7 | -2.2 | -0.5 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 7,700 from Masato Hagiwara | 87% | 1% | 12% | 0% | -0.9 | +14.2 | -3.0 | -10.3 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 3,000 | 86% | 3% | 11% | 0% | -1.9 | +8.2 | -3.9 | -2.3 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 8,000 | 85% | 5% | 10% | 0% | -4.9 | -13.2 | +20.3 | -2.2 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,600 from Kei Nakabayashi | 77% | 0% | 23% | 0% | +6.6 | +0.2 | -9.8 | +2.9 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 93% | 0% | 7% | 0% | -0.1 | -1.0 | -1.0 | +2.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 93% | 0% | 7% | 0% | +2.2 | +5.5 | -1.9 | -5.8 |