Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/9 Game 1
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+68.7pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Honda Tomohiro tsumo 18,000, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +47.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Aikawa Megumu 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Aikawa Megumu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 23% | 26% | +2.7 | +2.6 | -2.4 | -3.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 18,000 | 28% | 26% | 23% | 24% | +47.7 | -17.7 | -14.3 | -15.7 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 8,000 from Date Arisa | 67% | 11% | 11% | 11% | -0.7 | +17.1 | -17.8 | +1.5 |
| East 2 | Aikawa Megumu ron 2,600 from Date Arisa | 67% | 17% | 5% | 11% | +2.2 | -3.6 | -6.2 | +7.6 |
| East 3 | Draw | 71% | 13% | 4% | 12% | +1.1 | -1.6 | +3.9 | -3.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Date Arisa ron 7,700 from Aikawa Megumu | 73% | 13% | 4% | 10% | -1.5 | +0.4 | +20.2 | -19.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,600 from Date Arisa | 72% | 13% | 9% | 6% | +7.6 | +0.6 | -10.9 | +2.7 |
| East 4 | Date Arisa ron 3,900 from Suzuki Daisuke | 80% | 11% | 4% | 5% | +3.6 | -7.7 | +9.1 | -5.0 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 4,000 | 86% | 6% | 4% | 3% | -3.1 | +12.4 | -5.9 | -3.4 |
| South 2 | Aikawa Megumu ron 8,000 from Date Arisa | 86% | 9% | 3% | 2% | +1.8 | -3.0 | -19.0 | +20.2 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 1,100 | 90% | 3% | 2% | 4% | +2.9 | +5.5 | -7.0 | -1.3 |
| South 4 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 2,000 | 96% | 1% | 0% | 3% | +3.3 | +2.5 | -1.1 | -4.7 |