Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/9 Game 1
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+68.7pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Tomohiro Honda tsumo 18,000, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +46.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Megumu Aikawa 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Megumu Aikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +3.3 | +3.9 | -4.3 | -3.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 18,000 | 29% | 27% | 22% | 22% | +46.3 | -18.7 | -13.7 | -13.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from Arisa Date | 66% | 12% | 11% | 11% | +0.6 | +17.3 | -18.6 | +0.7 |
| East 2 | Megumu Aikawa ron 2,600 from Arisa Date | 68% | 17% | 5% | 10% | +3.4 | -4.0 | -6.5 | +7.1 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 72% | 13% | 4% | 11% | -3.9 | 0.0 | +3.5 | +0.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Arisa Date ron 7,700 from Megumu Aikawa | 69% | 14% | 5% | 12% | +1.8 | -1.8 | +20.5 | -20.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,600 from Arisa Date | 72% | 12% | 9% | 7% | +7.0 | +2.5 | -9.5 | 0.0 |
| East 4 | Arisa Date ron 3,900 from Daisuke Suzuki | 80% | 12% | 4% | 5% | +3.4 | -10.0 | +9.8 | -3.2 |
| South 1 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 86% | 6% | 5% | 3% | -3.9 | +13.4 | -5.3 | -4.2 |
| South 2 | Megumu Aikawa ron 8,000 from Arisa Date | 84% | 10% | 4% | 2% | +4.1 | -2.4 | -22.7 | +20.9 |
| South 3 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 1,100 | 92% | 3% | 1% | 4% | +1.7 | +4.8 | -5.4 | -1.1 |
| South 4 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 2,000 | 96% | 1% | 0% | 3% | +3.6 | +2.6 | -1.2 | -5.1 |