Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/9 Game 2
Setokuma Naoki finished 1st (+60.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Setokuma Naoki ron 18,000 from Tojyo Rio, which moved Setokuma Naoki's expected points by +71.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Miura Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Miura Tomohiro Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Miura Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -15.4 | -10.6 | +31.9 | -6.0 |
| East 2 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 2,000 | 14% | 17% | 50% | 20% | +5.4 | -2.8 | -0.6 | -2.0 |
| East 3 | Tojyo Rio ron 2,600 from Miura Tomohiro | 16% | 15% | 51% | 19% | +6.3 | +0.3 | -6.2 | -0.5 |
| East 4 | Draw | 20% | 16% | 45% | 19% | -3.7 | -4.2 | +3.2 | +4.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Miura Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 17% | 13% | 49% | 21% | -0.8 | -12.5 | +16.2 | -2.9 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 16,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 14% | 7% | 66% | 14% | -3.6 | +42.4 | +1.3 | -40.1 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 7,800 | 8% | 23% | 67% | 2% | -7.4 | +26.8 | -14.5 | -4.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 4% | 55% | 40% | 1% | +0.3 | -10.9 | +4.8 | +5.8 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki ron 5,200 from Miura Tomohiro | 4% | 43% | 51% | 3% | -4.5 | +15.1 | -19.1 | +8.6 |
| South 4 | Draw | 1% | 75% | 20% | 5% | +2.7 | -4.0 | -0.6 | +1.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 3,900 | 3% | 67% | 25% | 6% | -11.2 | -1.8 | -3.8 | +16.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 18,000 from Tojyo Rio | 3% | 68% | 20% | 9% | -29.9 | -24.4 | -17.2 | +71.5 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 13% | 6% | 81% | +9.0 | -30.0 | +14.0 | +6.9 |