Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

3/10 Game 1

Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+61.3pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Yu Suzuki ron 5,800 from Kotaro Uchikawa, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +26.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1South 2End● Yu Suzuki● Genta Takeuchi● Sayaka Okada● Kotaro Uchikawa0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Yu● Genta● Sayaka● Kotaro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultYu Suzuki
1st-place chance
Genta Takeuchi
1st-place chance
Sayaka Okada
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Yu Suzuki
Expected pt change
Genta Takeuchi
Expected pt change
Sayaka Okada
Expected pt change
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
East 1Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Yu Suzuki26%24%24%25%-9.2+1.5+0.4+7.3
East 2Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Genta Takeuchi21%25%25%30%+23.8-22.40.0-1.5
East 3Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Yu Suzuki37%11%24%28%+0.5-1.8-2.7+4.1
East 4Exhaustive draw38%11%20%31%+1.8-2.2+6.6-6.2
South 1, 1 honbaYu Suzuki ron 5,800 from Kotaro Uchikawa38%10%27%25%+26.6-1.0-3.6-22.0
South 1, 2 honbaYu Suzuki ron 4,800 from Sayaka Okada68%6%17%9%+12.6+1.9-14.2-0.3
South 1, 3 honbaKotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,00080%6%8%7%-11.4-11.1-9.2+31.7
South 2Genta Takeuchi ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa68%3%5%23%+1.5+12.0-1.6-12.0
South 2, 1 honbaExhaustive draw73%6%6%16%-2.1+7.0-3.1-1.8
South 2, 2 honbaYu Suzuki tsumo 8,00070%8%6%16%+21.9-11.7-6.8-3.4
South 3Sayaka Okada tsumo 18,00094%0%1%5%-13.5-17.4+49.7-18.8
South 3, 1 honbaKotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Genta Takeuchi80%0%16%5%+4.3-12.6-5.6+13.9
South 4Sayaka Okada tsumo 8,00089%0%5%7%+2.8-1.8+10.3-11.3

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)