Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/10 Game 2
Shibukawa Namba finished 1st (+97.8pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000, which moved Shibukawa Namba's expected points by +35.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 27% | 24% | 23% | +45.6 | -16.6 | -14.5 | -14.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 2,900 from Shibukawa Namba | 64% | 13% | 12% | 11% | +2.0 | -7.8 | +2.9 | +2.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000 | 64% | 10% | 13% | 13% | -9.9 | +30.2 | -10.9 | -9.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 56% | 24% | 9% | 11% | -5.4 | +5.5 | 0.0 | -0.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 49% | 30% | 11% | 11% | -5.8 | +2.6 | +1.2 | +2.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000 | 43% | 33% | 12% | 12% | -15.1 | +35.7 | -13.1 | -7.5 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 66% | 5% | 7% | -10.5 | +23.2 | -4.3 | -8.4 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 8% | 88% | 2% | 2% | +1.2 | -0.7 | -11.6 | +11.1 |
| East 3 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 5,200 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 8% | 87% | 1% | 3% | -0.1 | +2.2 | -10.5 | +8.4 |
| East 4 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 2,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 6% | 90% | 0% | 4% | +4.3 | +1.0 | -0.1 | -5.1 |
| South 1 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 4,000 | 6% | 92% | 0% | 1% | -4.5 | +6.1 | -1.3 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 7,800 | 1% | 98% | 0% | 1% | -3.8 | +8.1 | -2.1 | -2.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 0% | -3.5 | +13.7 | -4.5 | -5.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +1.5 | -0.7 | -0.1 | -0.8 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,900 from Shibukawa Namba | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +0.1 | -4.0 | +5.5 | -1.6 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +9.1 | -1.0 | -6.9 | -1.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -1.9 | -0.8 | -0.6 | +3.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -0.9 | -0.7 | -1.8 | +3.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 1,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +4.2 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -3.1 |