Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/12 Game 1
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+49.5pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Watanabe Futoshi, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +43.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nagai Kosuke ron 1,300 from Hori Shingo | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +0.5 | +5.6 | -0.4 | -5.6 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Nagai Kosuke | 24% | 29% | 26% | 22% | +0.5 | -22.7 | +0.2 | +22.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 25% | 14% | 25% | 37% | -3.8 | +2.5 | +2.9 | -1.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nagai Kosuke ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 22% | 15% | 28% | 35% | -0.7 | +11.5 | -9.4 | -1.4 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 22% | 22% | 21% | 36% | -2.7 | -4.0 | +14.5 | -7.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 20% | 20% | 31% | 29% | -12.5 | +0.6 | +6.9 | +5.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 3,900 from Nagai Kosuke | 12% | 19% | 36% | 32% | +18.0 | -19.9 | +2.3 | -0.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 23% | 8% | 38% | 32% | -0.2 | -0.4 | -11.5 | +12.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 22% | 10% | 25% | 43% | -16.2 | -12.4 | +43.2 | -14.6 |