Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/12 Game 1
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+49.5pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Futoshi Watanabe, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +41.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kosuke Nagai ron 1,300 from Shingo Hori | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -3.0 | +6.9 | +0.4 | -4.3 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Kosuke Nagai | 24% | 27% | 26% | 24% | +2.3 | -23.1 | +0.9 | +19.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 15% | 25% | 36% | -4.6 | +4.2 | +1.5 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kosuke Nagai ron 2,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 21% | 16% | 27% | 36% | -1.2 | +9.8 | -9.2 | +0.6 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 22% | 21% | 36% | -2.4 | -3.1 | +15.7 | -10.2 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 20% | 32% | 28% | -12.0 | -0.1 | +7.5 | +4.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 3,900 from Kosuke Nagai | 11% | 19% | 39% | 31% | +18.8 | -21.0 | +2.7 | -0.5 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 7% | 41% | 30% | -1.2 | +0.5 | -11.5 | +12.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 21% | 10% | 27% | 42% | -15.4 | -12.4 | +41.3 | -13.5 |