Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/12 Game 2
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+69.2pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +35.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Akutsu Shota 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Akutsu Shota Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 16,000 | 25% | 27% | 24% | 24% | -20.8 | +39.0 | -8.5 | -9.7 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 11% | 58% | 16% | 15% | +18.5 | -0.8 | +0.8 | -18.5 |
| East 3 | Akutsu Shota ron 2,900 from Sonoda Ken | 18% | 58% | 15% | 9% | +0.1 | +0.4 | +4.1 | -4.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 59% | 14% | 8% | +35.4 | -11.2 | -14.5 | -9.7 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 5,800 from Akutsu Shota | 48% | 41% | 7% | 4% | +0.5 | -0.9 | -15.4 | +15.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 5,200 | 49% | 41% | 4% | 7% | +19.3 | -8.3 | -1.0 | -9.9 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 71% | 24% | 2% | 3% | -12.0 | -5.3 | -9.7 | +26.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 62% | 25% | 3% | 10% | -7.1 | +1.3 | +2.6 | +3.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 2,100 | 54% | 28% | 3% | 14% | -4.3 | +10.6 | -3.4 | -2.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 46% | 39% | 3% | 12% | -0.4 | -3.5 | +1.3 | +2.7 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Draw | 46% | 36% | 3% | 14% | +5.4 | -8.4 | +2.5 | +0.5 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Draw | 56% | 26% | 4% | 14% | -2.5 | +1.7 | +3.0 | -2.3 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 2,700 | 53% | 29% | 4% | 14% | +26.1 | -8.2 | -12.0 | -5.9 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 4,000 | 90% | 5% | 0% | 5% | +10.1 | +0.6 | -2.3 | -8.4 |