Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/12 Game 2
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+69.2pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +35.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 16,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -21.7 | +39.8 | -11.2 | -7.0 |
| East 2 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 10% | 58% | 16% | 17% | +20.4 | +2.0 | +0.4 | -22.9 |
| East 3 | Shota Akutsu ron 2,900 from Ken Sonoda | 18% | 60% | 14% | 7% | -1.1 | -1.3 | +6.6 | -4.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 57% | 17% | 7% | +35.0 | -11.6 | -17.4 | -6.1 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 5,800 from Shota Akutsu | 47% | 40% | 7% | 5% | +1.5 | +0.7 | -14.7 | +12.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 5,200 | 48% | 41% | 4% | 7% | +19.5 | -9.1 | -2.1 | -8.3 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 72% | 23% | 3% | 3% | -10.9 | -4.1 | -10.2 | +25.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 63% | 25% | 2% | 10% | -8.1 | 0.0 | +3.1 | +5.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,100 | 54% | 29% | 3% | 14% | -6.5 | +10.7 | -1.5 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 44% | 40% | 3% | 13% | +1.7 | -2.4 | -0.7 | +1.4 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 47% | 38% | 2% | 13% | +5.3 | -10.9 | +4.0 | +1.7 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 56% | 25% | 4% | 15% | -4.4 | +4.4 | +1.8 | -1.7 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 2,700 | 49% | 32% | 4% | 15% | +28.5 | -10.1 | -11.3 | -7.0 |
| South 4 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 4,000 | 91% | 4% | 0% | 5% | +9.7 | +1.0 | -2.2 | -8.5 |