Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

3/13 Game 1

Ishii Kazuma finished 1st (+61.1pt). The game was decided in South 2: Ishii Kazuma tsumo 8,000, which moved Ishii Kazuma's expected points by +29.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Ishii Kazuma● Kurosawa Saki● Suzuki Taro● Takizawa Kazunori0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Ishii● Kurosawa● Suzuki● Takizawa
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultIshii Kazuma
1st-place chance
Kurosawa Saki
1st-place chance
Suzuki Taro
1st-place chance
Takizawa Kazunori
1st-place chance
Ishii Kazuma
Expected pt change
Kurosawa Saki
Expected pt change
Suzuki Taro
Expected pt change
Takizawa Kazunori
Expected pt change
East 1Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki24%26%25%24%-1.6-23.5+25.10.0
East 2Ishii Kazuma ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki21%13%44%22%+23.8-21.8-2.7+0.7
East 3Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro37%5%38%20%+1.5-2.1-10.6+11.3
East 4Draw40%3%29%28%+3.9+1.5-7.7+2.3
East 4, 1 honbaKurosawa Saki ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori44%4%23%30%+2.4+2.6-1.0-4.1
South 1Suzuki Taro tsumo 1,50048%4%22%26%-5.7-3.8+10.0-0.5
South 2Ishii Kazuma tsumo 8,00042%3%30%26%+29.1-9.1-11.9-8.1
South 3Suzuki Taro tsumo 1,50079%0%10%11%-2.9-1.7+6.1-1.5
South 3, 1 honbaIshii Kazuma ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori75%0%13%12%+8.6-0.2-2.4-5.9
South 4Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,00090%0%3%8%+2.2+9.3+2.4-13.8

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)