Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/13 Game 1
Kazuma Ishii finished 1st (+61.1pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kazuma Ishii tsumo 8,000, which moved Kazuma Ishii's expected points by +28.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -3.4 | -23.4 | +23.6 | +3.3 |
| East 2 | Kazuma Ishii ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 20% | 11% | 42% | 27% | +23.9 | -22.1 | +1.1 | -2.9 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 37% | 3% | 38% | 22% | +2.0 | +0.5 | -12.5 | +10.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 41% | 4% | 27% | 29% | +4.4 | -0.6 | -8.0 | +4.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 44% | 4% | 21% | 31% | +1.7 | +3.2 | +0.9 | -5.9 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 1,500 | 48% | 4% | 22% | 27% | -4.7 | -2.6 | +8.3 | -1.1 |
| South 2 | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 8,000 | 44% | 3% | 28% | 25% | +28.4 | -9.8 | -12.1 | -6.5 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 1,500 | 79% | 0% | 10% | 11% | -2.6 | -2.3 | +7.0 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazuma Ishii ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 76% | 0% | 13% | 11% | +8.3 | 0.0 | -2.2 | -6.1 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 90% | 0% | 3% | 8% | +2.1 | +9.4 | +2.3 | -13.8 |