Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/13 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+71.7pt). The game was decided in East 4: Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +45.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Ishii Kazuma | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -2.4 | -19.1 | -0.7 | +22.2 |
| East 2 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 14% | 23% | 40% | +32.6 | -17.9 | -7.7 | -7.0 |
| East 3 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 3,200 | 47% | 6% | 17% | 30% | +16.4 | -1.7 | -8.7 | -5.9 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000 | 66% | 3% | 9% | 22% | -22.9 | -9.0 | -13.4 | +45.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ishii Kazuma ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 28% | 1% | 3% | 67% | +2.8 | +7.0 | -1.5 | -8.4 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,100 | 34% | 2% | 4% | 60% | -3.4 | -1.6 | -0.1 | +5.1 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 2,000 | 28% | 2% | 3% | 67% | +5.0 | -5.5 | +1.1 | -0.6 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Takamiya Mari | 31% | 0% | 3% | 66% | -5.5 | -1.1 | -1.7 | +8.4 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,900 from Ishii Kazuma | 17% | 0% | 0% | 83% | -2.6 | -4.7 | +1.4 | +5.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 7,700 from Ishii Kazuma | 10% | 0% | 0% | 90% | -3.0 | -10.0 | +2.0 | +11.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 2% | 0% | 0% | 98% | -1.8 | +1.2 | -1.9 | +2.5 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 99% | +9.3 | -3.1 | -0.8 | -5.3 |