Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/13 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+71.7pt). The game was decided in East 4: Ken Sonoda tsumo 18,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +44.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -1.1 | -20.7 | -1.4 | +23.2 |
| East 2 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 13% | 22% | 43% | +32.1 | -15.8 | -7.5 | -8.8 |
| East 3 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 3,200 | 47% | 5% | 16% | 32% | +17.1 | -1.2 | -8.5 | -7.4 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 18,000 | 68% | 4% | 9% | 20% | -23.2 | -9.5 | -12.1 | +44.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kazuma Ishii ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 28% | 2% | 4% | 66% | +3.1 | +4.5 | +0.4 | -8.1 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,100 | 36% | 2% | 4% | 58% | -4.7 | -0.1 | -1.8 | +6.5 |
| South 2 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 2% | 3% | 69% | +6.5 | -5.3 | -0.4 | -0.8 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Mari Takamiya | 32% | 0% | 2% | 66% | -5.8 | -1.7 | 0.0 | +7.5 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,900 from Kazuma Ishii | 18% | 0% | 0% | 82% | -2.5 | -3.8 | +0.5 | +5.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 7,700 from Kazuma Ishii | 11% | 0% | 0% | 89% | -3.9 | -10.1 | +2.5 | +11.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 0% | 0% | 98% | -1.5 | +1.2 | -2.2 | +2.6 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 99% | +9.3 | -3.0 | -0.7 | -5.6 |