Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

3/16 Game 1

Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+84.4pt). The game was decided in East 4: Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +27.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Suzuki Yu● Honda Tomohiro● Shiratori Sho● Katsumata Kenji0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Suzuki● Honda● Shiratori● Katsumata
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHonda Tomohiro
1st-place chance
Shiratori Sho
1st-place chance
Suzuki Yu
1st-place chance
Katsumata Kenji
1st-place chance
Honda Tomohiro
Expected pt change
Shiratori Sho
Expected pt change
Suzuki Yu
Expected pt change
Katsumata Kenji
Expected pt change
East 1Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,00025%25%25%26%-11.8-4.6+21.5-5.1
East 2Shiratori Sho ron 2,900 from Suzuki Yu17%20%42%22%+0.9+9.9-7.9-2.9
East 2, 1 honbaHonda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji19%27%34%20%+23.5-1.7+1.3-23.1
East 3Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Honda Tomohiro32%23%35%10%-5.7+8.4-2.3-0.4
East 4Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,00028%30%33%10%-6.9-7.4+27.0-12.7
South 1Draw18%19%60%4%+5.3-3.5-2.3+0.4
South 1, 1 honbaSuzuki Yu tsumo 8,00022%18%56%4%-14.9-5.6+26.3-5.9
South 2Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,0004%7%88%1%-3.5-15.6+1.1+18.1
South 3Suzuki Yu ron 1,500 from Katsumata Kenji1%1%95%3%-0.3-0.2+2.7-2.2
South 3, 1 honbaHonda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji1%0%96%2%+19.6-0.4-0.9-18.2
South 4Suzuki Yu ron 16,000 from Shiratori Sho1%0%98%1%+2.1-35.2+17.7+15.4

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)