Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/16 Game 1
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+84.4pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +28.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 26% | 23% | 27% | -11.1 | -4.3 | +22.1 | -6.6 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,900 from Yu Suzuki | 16% | 22% | 40% | 22% | -0.9 | +10.0 | -6.8 | -2.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 17% | 28% | 35% | 20% | +26.6 | -3.3 | -0.6 | -22.7 |
| East 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 1,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 35% | 23% | 32% | 10% | -5.6 | +7.7 | +0.3 | -2.4 |
| East 4 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 30% | 33% | 9% | -7.6 | -6.3 | +26.7 | -12.8 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 20% | 59% | 3% | +6.3 | -4.5 | -4.2 | +2.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 19% | 54% | 3% | -17.9 | -5.7 | +28.9 | -5.4 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 6% | 90% | 1% | -0.9 | -15.6 | -0.4 | +16.9 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 1,500 from Kenji Katsumata | 2% | 0% | 95% | 3% | +0.3 | +1.4 | +2.6 | -4.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 1% | 1% | 97% | 2% | +18.5 | -1.7 | -0.4 | -16.3 |
| South 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 16,000 from Sho Shiratori | 1% | 0% | 98% | 1% | +1.8 | -35.0 | +17.6 | +15.5 |