Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/16 Game 2
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+53.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +32.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -4.5 | +5.6 | +0.4 | -1.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 22% | 28% | 25% | 25% | -2.3 | -2.1 | -7.8 | +12.2 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,800 from Mizuhara Akina | 20% | 25% | 20% | 34% | +1.1 | +2.3 | +16.2 | -19.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 2,000 | 21% | 28% | 32% | 19% | -3.7 | +8.1 | -4.9 | +0.5 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 1,600 from Ooi Takaharu | 19% | 34% | 28% | 20% | +5.6 | +1.9 | -5.4 | -2.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 22% | 37% | 24% | 18% | +5.3 | -4.9 | +4.7 | -5.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,000 from Nikaido Aki | 26% | 31% | 27% | 16% | -5.9 | +0.4 | -0.2 | +5.7 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 5,200 from Mizuhara Akina | 21% | 33% | 27% | 20% | +23.4 | -1.4 | -4.0 | -18.0 |
| South 3 | Draw | 42% | 27% | 21% | 10% | +1.0 | +0.9 | -4.8 | +2.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 2,100 | 41% | 29% | 17% | 13% | -0.5 | -3.8 | -4.8 | +9.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 44% | 24% | 14% | 18% | +32.5 | -44.1 | +14.6 | -3.1 |